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Stats as of
DreadedSebas
dreadedsebas
+$2.1K
- Tracked Trades
- 147
- First Seen
- Feb 28, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 10, 2026
- Best In MMA
- 62% won · 34 settled · +$1.3K
DreadedSebas is a Kalshi trader with 147 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 42 wins and 92 losses on settled markets, $2.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Andre Fili,yes Felipe Franco,yes RJ Harris,yes Alice Pereira,yes Julius Walker,yes Malcolm Wellmaker on Oct 10.
- Win rate
- 31%
- Return on settled
- +17%
- Money traded
- $16.4K
- Typical trade
- $94.51
- Avg entry
- 15¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,787
Profit over time
+$2.5K-$397.00
Feb 28Oct 10
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢5810%9%-1 pts
20 to 40¢4229%29%+0 pts
40 to 60¢2851%63%+12 pts
60 to 80¢1267%67%+0 pts
Over 80¢792%100%+8 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $563726%-$303.25
$56 to $953717%+$406.28
$95 to $973733%-$465.57
$98 to $1.1K3652%+$2.4K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays8718%+$1.2K
MMA3562%+$1.3K
Soccer2339%-$443.58
NBA10%-$2.25
College football10%-$0.10
Side taken
Yes 93%7% No
If you had copied DreadedSebas
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$167.18
Profit
on $3,500.00 staked
8-27
Record
23% win rate
+5%
Return
+$567.18-$708.56
Aug 3Oct 5
-$978.93
Max drawdown
362% below peak
0.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.06×
Profit factor
$2.9K won vs $2.7K lost
+4.4 pts
Edge vs implied
23% won at 18¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 9
- Deepest drawdown
- 26 trades
By category
sports35 settled+5%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Andre Fili,yes Felipe Franco,yes RJ Harris,yes Alice Pereira,yes Julius Walker,yes Malcolm Wellmaker
Oct 10
yes Andre Fili,yes Felipe Franco,yes RJ Harris,yes Alice Pereira,yes Julius Walker,yes Malcolm Wellmaker
Oct 10
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026079939979A5-E89E75A6912
Oct 10
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.3Kyes Farid Basharat,yes Cong Wang,yes Alessandro Costa,yes Adrian Yanez,yes Robert Whittaker,yes Damian Pinas,yes Luke Riley,yes Gable Steveson$93.75 on Yes at 7¢, Jul 8
- 2+$985.94yes Alexander Hernandez,yes Payton Talbott,yes Eric Nolan,yes Marcus McGhee,yes Damian Pinas,yes Natalia Silva,yes Jacobe Smith,yes Roberto Soldic,yes Anthony Wint$93.95 on Yes at 9¢, Oct 3
- 3+$984.64yes Iwo Baraniewski,yes Christian Duncan,yes Shanelle Dyer,yes Movsar Evloev,yes Mantas Kondratavicius,yes Mario Pinto,yes Luke Riley$279.34 on Yes at 22¢, Mar 19
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026079939979A5-E89E75A69121+$0.00
USA vs Belgium: To Advance53¢20%-$319.48
yes Andre Fili,yes Felipe Franco,yes RJ Harris,yes Alice Pereira,yes Julius Walker,yes Malcolm Wellmaker10¢20%-$77.98
France wins by more than 1.5 goals?59¢350%-$199.09
yes Colombia advances,yes Morocco advances,yes Reg Time: France48¢2100%+$313.28
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 13Oct 10
Profit by month
Feb 2026+$139.23
Mar 2026+$1.4K
Apr 2026-$731.44
May 2026-$633.90
Jun 2026+$14.93
Jul 2026+$1.3K
Aug 2026-$347.11
Sep 2026-$33.49
Oct 2026+$983.15
Kalshi leaderboards
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