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Stats as of

Kalshi

drop.bow

-$2.5K
Tracked Trades
686
First Seen
Jun 8, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026

drop.bow is a Kalshi trader with 686 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 58 wins and 473 losses on settled markets, -$2.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20266DRXJRTX2APERCTI-GSTCCIM74 on Nov 3.

Win rate
11%
Return on settled
-15%
Money traded
$57.0K
Typical trade
$14.08
Avg entry
7¢
Kalshi rank
#6,433

Profit over time

+$276.00-$3.9K
Jun 9Oct 31

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4475%5%+0 pts
20 to 40¢6829%29%+0 pts
40 to 60¢4150%37%-14 pts
60 to 80¢3870%47%-23 pts
Over 80¢9294%100%+6 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $51725%-$170.19
$5 to $141722%-$1.3K
$14 to $6617116%+$411.22
$68 to $3.1K17135%-$1.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays5055%-$494.39
Soccer15028%-$2.2K
Baseball1840%-$815.10
NBA7100%+$1.2K
WNBA433%-$86.19
Commodities2100%+$1.03

Side taken

Yes 78%22% No

If you had copied drop.bow

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$12,687.76
Profit
on $26,800.00 staked
13-255
Record
5% win rate
-47%
Return
1 still open
Profit over time268 settled trades
+$0.00-$12.7K
Aug 3Oct 26
-$13.2K
Max drawdown
3312% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.50×
Profit factor
$12.8K won vs $25.5K lost
-1.0 pts
Edge vs implied
5% won at 6¢ avg
Longest losing streak
104
Deepest drawdown
221 trades

By category

sports267 settled-48%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $14.00

The markets drop.bow is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what drop.bow is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20266DRXJRTX2APERCTI-GSTCCIM74
Nov 3
Sold Nosold 90¢$993.45Exited
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20265TSW2EOMF3OBHMW5-V3LRXQFYF
Nov 1
Sold Nosold 75¢$1.0KExited
yes Dortmund,no Dortmund,no Aalesund,yes Arsenal,yes Real Madrid,yes Barcelona,yes Real Betis,no Leon,yes Guadalajara,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Porto,no Angers,no Orlando,yes San Antonio,yes Philadelphia,yes Portland,yes Memphis,yes Dallas,yes Jacksonville,no Al-Fateh,no Venezia,no Cagliari,yes Barcelona,no Feyenoord
Oct 31
Yes1¢$9.32-$9.32
See every position across 516 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Game 5: New York at San Antonio Winner?
    $265.22 on Yes at 26¢, Jun 14
    +$763.50
  2. 2
    yes West Ham,yes QPR,yes PSG,yes Miami,yes Aston Villa,no Roma,yes Stuttgart,yes Over 3.5 goals scored
    $46.90 on Yes at 7¢, Oct 14
    +$613.66
  3. 3
    yes Barcelona,yes Real Madrid,yes Real Betis,yes PSG,yes Al Hilal,yes Inter,yes Napoli
    $93.14 on Yes at 15¢, Oct 10
    +$519.62
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
no M´gladbach,no Elversberg,no Jaguares,no Watford,yes Arsenal,yes Manchester City,yes Atletico,yes Real Sociedad,no Tijuana,yes America,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes PSG,yes Lazio,yes Inter,yes Juventus,yes Inter,yes Aston Villa,no Arsenal,yes Club Brugge,no Shakhtar,yes Real Betis,yes Real Madrid,no Sporting CP0¢20%-$13.89
Cincinnati vs San Diego Winner?63¢1133%-$767.78
no M´gladbach,yes Dortmund,yes Arsenal,yes Manchester City,yes Real Sociedad,no Tijuana,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes PSG,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,no Montreal,no Sassuolo,yes Aston Villa,yes Inter,no Feyenoord,yes Real Madrid,no LASK,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,no Sporting Jax1¢20%-$14.01
yes Atlanta,yes Toronto,yes New York M,yes Detroit,yes Milwaukee,yes San Diego,yes Tampa Bay,yes Cleveland,yes Minnesota2¢20%-$21.11
Galatasaray vs Venezia Winner?45¢533%-$4.52

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

Jun 2026-$765.16
Jul 2026-$1.9K
Aug 2026-$387.70
Sep 2026-$441.36
Oct 2026+$1.0K

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