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Stats as of

dudewithacigar

-$2.4K
Tracked Trades
3,531
First Seen
Aug 12, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 8, 2026
Best In Tennis
61% won · 1,392 settled · +$39.0K

dudewithacigar is a Kalshi trader with 3,531 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 1,350 wins and 1,046 losses on settled markets, -$2.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXNFL1QSPREAD-26NOV08DENCAR-DEN3 on Nov 8.

Win rate
56%
Return on settled
+-0%
Money traded
$2.5M
Typical trade
$402.05
Avg entry
57¢
Kalshi rank
#2,364

Profit over time

+$33.1K-$31.8K
Aug 12Nov 8

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢29710%8%-2 pts
20 to 40¢32330%25%-5 pts
40 to 60¢90951%51%-1 pts
60 to 80¢107469%68%-1 pts
Over 80¢92892%86%-6 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $13088325%-$3.2K
$132 to $40288348%-$8.8K
$403 to $82688365%+$28.5K
$826 to $13K88268%-$18.8K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Tennis210761%+$39.0K
MMA33766%-$2.6K
College football35755%-$3.4K
NFL40944%-$15.0K
Baseball12047%-$5.0K
Parlays10021%-$9.1K

Side taken

Yes 96%4% No

If you had copied dudewithacigar

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$4,215.03
Profit
on $176,400.00 staked
1029-735
Record
58% win rate
-2%
Return
Profit over time1764 settled trades
+$360.60-$5.6K
Aug 10Nov 9
-$6.8K
Max drawdown
1095% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.94×
Profit factor
$69.3K won vs $73.5K lost
-1.0 pts
Edge vs implied
58% won at 59¢ avg
Longest losing streak
8
Deepest drawdown
980 trades

By category

culture75 settled+14%
other913 settled-2%
sports774 settled-4%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXNFL1QSPREAD-26NOV08DENCAR-DEN3
Nov 8
Yes42¢$707.15+$976.54
KXNFL1Q-26NOV08NYJKC-KC
Nov 8
Yes56¢$893.27-$893.27
Cincinnati wins
Nov 8, 5 fills
Yes88¢$5.1K+$691.62
See every position across 1,745 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Samira de Stefano wins
    $2.9K on Yes at 14¢, Sep 18
    +$17.3K
  2. 2
    KXNCAAF1HSPREAD-26SEP25CLEMCAL-CLEM3
    $4.5K on Yes at 47¢, Sep 26
    +$5.1K
  3. 3
    KXNFL1HSPREAD-26SEP27LARDEN-LAR3
    $3.8K on Yes at 43¢, Sep 27
    +$5.0K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
UCLA wins80¢10100%+$3.0K
Jean Silva wins78¢5100%+$2.8K
Louisville wins76¢750%-$145.88
Cristian Perez wins75¢4100%+$4.5K
Liudmila Samsonova wins66¢1150%+$1.1K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 11Nov 8

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$14.6K
Sep 2026+$34.6K
Oct 2026-$35.2K
Nov 2026+$12.8K

Kalshi leaderboards

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