rivomarkets

dudewithacigar

+$2.6K
Tracked Trades
5,447
First Seen
Aug 12, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 20, 2026
Followers
90

dudewithacigar is a Kalshi trader with 5,447 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 2276 wins and 1743 losses on settled markets, $2.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXNFL1HSPREAD-26SEP20CLETB-TB3 on Sep 20.

Win rate
57%
Return on settled
+0%
Money traded
$974.6K
Typical trade
$18
Copy score
55/100
Kalshi rank
#1,524

Profit over time

+$6.7K-$32.2K
Aug 12Sep 20

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢6406%10%+3 pts
20 to 40¢43431%27%-4 pts
40 to 60¢135751%54%+3 pts
60 to 80¢195869%65%-4 pts
Over 80¢104488%74%-14 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $3135957%-$64
$3 to $18135853%-$776
$18 to $144135852%-$3.4K
$144 to $10K135863%+$7.6K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports20068%-$4.8K
Culture12584%+$24.8K
Crypto1100%+$272

Side taken

Yes 88%12% No

If you had copied dudewithacigar

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$22895
Profit
on $401200 staked
2272-1740
Record
57% win rate
-6%
Return
463 still open
Profit over time4012 settled trades
+$0-$22.9K
Aug 10Sep 14
-$29.3K
Max drawdown
2106% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.87×
Profit factor
$151.1K won vs $174.0K lost
-3.2 pts
Edge vs implied
57% won at 60¢ avg
Longest losing streak
64
Deepest drawdown
2154 trades

By category

culture88 settled+36%
other3765 settled-7%
sports158 settled-8%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

115 open positions worth $99.7K

The markets dudewithacigar is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what dudewithacigar is holding

Recent positions

KXNFL1HSPREAD-26SEP20CLETB-TB3
Sep 20, avg 65¢
BUYYES$1.3KOpen
KXNFL1HSPREAD-26SEP20NOBAL-BAL5
Sep 20, avg 54¢
BUYYES$589Open
KXNFL1HSPREAD-26SEP20GBNYJ-GB3
Sep 20, avg 51¢
BUYYES$725-$725
See every position across 854 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Samira de Stefano wins
    $2.9K on Yes, Sep 18
    +$17.3K
  2. 2
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $569 on No, Aug 20
    +$10.6K
  3. 3
    Tommy McMillen wins
    $4.7K on Yes, Sep 12
    +$2.8K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Liudmila Samsonova wins140%-$1.5K
Veerawit Kamput wins15100%+$2.4K
Tommy McMillen wins3100%+$2.8K
Alicia Herrero Linana wins5100%+$474
UCLA wins15100%+$2.3K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 23Sep 20

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$8.7K
Sep 2026+$12.1K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy dudewithacigar on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.