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Stats as of

dumb.gain

+$3.0K
Tracked Trades
128
First Seen
Jul 3, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 22, 2026
Best In Bitcoin
63% won · 16 settled · +$1.5K

dumb.gain is a Kalshi trader with 128 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 50 wins and 36 losses on settled markets, $3.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Sam Houston wins on Oct 22.

Win rate
58%
Return on settled
+16%
Money traded
$26.4K
Typical trade
$70.88
Avg entry
57¢
Kalshi rank
#2,288

Profit over time

+$3.7K-$189.00
Jul 3Oct 22

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢297%5%-2 pts
20 to 40¢1931%50%+19 pts
40 to 60¢2249%64%+16 pts
60 to 80¢2770%80%+10 pts
Over 80¢3189%94%+5 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $253227%-$73.28
$26 to $713252%+$349.80
$71 to $1923272%+$385.68
$198 to $1.4K3290%+$2.3K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin2863%+$1.5K
Commodities6382%+$1.4K
Soccer160%-$141.46
NFL1536%+$309.59
College football60%-$108.44

Side taken

Yes 56%44% No

If you had copied dumb.gain

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$1,210.87
Profit
on $6,000.00 staked
39-21
Record
65% win rate
+20%
Return
Profit over time60 settled trades
+$1.2K-$265.22
Sep 7Oct 19
-$600.00
Max drawdown
179% below peak
2.0×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.58×
Profit factor
$3.3K won vs $2.1K lost
+11.7 pts
Edge vs implied
65% won at 53¢ avg
Longest losing streak
5
Deepest drawdown
8 trades

By category

finance37 settled+34%
sports12 settled+17%
crypto10 settled-17%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Sam Houston wins
Oct 22, 2 fills
Yes3¢$22.67-$22.67
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 22, 6 fills
Yes33¢sold 47¢$683.34-$683.34
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 22, 12 fills
No88¢sold 92¢$972.20+$132.57
See every position across 62 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $2.9K on Yes at 78¢, Oct 22
    +$817.51
  2. 2
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $894.09 on Yes at 57¢, Oct 22
    +$674.49
  3. 3
    Gold price up in next 15 mins?
    $408.59 on No at 48¢, Oct 20
    +$442.64
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?69¢2863%+$1.5K
Gold price up in next 15 mins?65¢6382%+$1.4K
Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance7¢80%-$52.90
Auburn wins6¢30%-$58.62
Baltimore wins13¢2100%+$302.89

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 25Oct 22

Profit by month

Jul 2026-$141.46
Sep 2026+$124.75
Oct 2026+$3.0K

Kalshi leaderboards

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