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Stats as of
dumb.one
+$591
- Tracked Trades
- 269
- First Seen
- Jan 10, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 21, 2026
- Best In MMA
- 72% won · 18 settled · +$3.6K
dumb.one is a Kalshi trader with 269 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 113 wins and 145 losses on settled markets, $591 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Alex Volkanovski wins on Oct 21.
- Win rate
- 44%
- Return on settled
- +1%
- Money traded
- $68.7K
- Typical trade
- $108
- Avg entry
- 43¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,060
Profit over time
+$2.9K-$3.1K
Jan 10Oct 21
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢428%2%-6 pts
20 to 40¢6230%29%+0 pts
40 to 60¢12851%56%+5 pts
60 to 80¢2263%73%+9 pts
Over 80¢1590%75%-15 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $286830%-$183
$28 to $1086742%+$308
$110 to $3106744%-$1.3K
$324 to $3.9K6759%+$1.8K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Baseball10950%+$2.0K
Parlays7021%-$2.9K
NFL2871%+$1.1K
MMA2072%+$3.6K
College basketball30%-$3.0K
College football650%+$416
Side taken
Yes 83%17% No
If you had copied dumb.one
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$304
Profit
on $11500 staked
52-63
Record
45% win rate
-3%
Return
+$465-$400
Aug 3Oct 19
-$1.0K
Max drawdown
166% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.95×
Profit factor
$6.0K won vs $6.3K lost
+3.2 pts
Edge vs implied
45% won at 42¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 6
- Deepest drawdown
- 13 trades
By category
other59 settled+18%
sports56 settled-24%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Alex Volkanovski wins
Oct 21
Astrid Lew Yan Foon wins
Oct 16
Marco Trungelliti wins
Oct 16
Biggest wins
- 1+$3.7KAlex Volkanovski wins$3.9K on Yes at 51¢, Oct 21
- 2+$1.9KKXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202603765EE49A5-52280E7DD04$566 on Yes at 23¢, Oct 5
- 3+$1.2KLos Angeles D wins$1.5K on Yes at 54¢, Oct 7
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Houston wins50¢2055%+$410
Alex Volkanovski wins51¢1100%+$3.7K
Wisconsin at Illinois Winner?84¢10%-$2.5K
Will Umar Nurmagomedov win the Nurmagomedov vs Figueiredo professional MMA fight scheduled for Jan 24, 2026?90¢1100%+$254
Seattle wins55¢20%-$2.2K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 24Oct 21
Profit by month
Jan 2026+$2.6K
Feb 2026-$4.2K
Mar 2026+$713
Apr 2026-$539
May 2026+$232
Jun 2026+$49
Jul 2026-$791
Aug 2026+$3.0K
Sep 2026-$928
Oct 2026+$490
Kalshi leaderboards
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