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Stats as of

dumb.spring

-$26
Tracked Trades
614
First Seen
Jan 23, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 22, 2026
Best In Parlays
9% won ยท 76 settled ยท +$883

dumb.spring is a Kalshi trader with 614 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 170 wins and 351 losses on settled markets, -$26 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Philadelphia,yes Oklahoma City,yes Miami,yes Minnesota,yes Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 30+,no Over 50.5 points on Oct 22.

Win rate
33%
Return on settled
+-0%
Money traded
$21.0K
Typical trade
$10
Avg entry
16ยข
Kalshi rank
#4,804

Profit over time

+$598-$1.3K
Jan 23Oct 22

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20ยข1939%9%+0 pts
20 to 40ยข19030%32%+3 pts
40 to 60ยข18648%49%+1 pts
60 to 80ยข3967%61%-6 pts
Over 80ยข694%100%+6 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $515431%-$55
$5 to $1015422%-$16
$10 to $3015335%+$63
$30 to $1.0K15343%-$18

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Soccer26829%-$1.5K
NFL5181%+$682
Parlays829%+$883
College basketball9148%+$396
Hockey2240%+$270
NBA2536%-$207

Side taken

Yes 87%13% No

If you had copied dumb.spring

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$1029
Profit
on $20500 staked
63-142
Record
31% win rate
+5%
Return
8 still open
Profit over time205 settled trades
+$5.3K-$359
Aug 31Oct 19
-$7.3K
Max drawdown
129% below peak
0.1ร—
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.07ร—
Profit factor
$15.2K won vs $14.2K lost
-0.1 pts
Edge vs implied
31% won at 31ยข avg
Longest losing streak
30
Deepest drawdown
92 trades

By category

sports204 settled+6%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $204

The markets dumb.spring is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what dumb.spring is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Philadelphia,yes Oklahoma City,yes Miami,yes Minnesota,yes Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 30+,no Over 50.5 points
Oct 22
Yes4ยข$66-$66
KXUCLLEADER-27GOAL-RAPH11
Oct 22
Sold Nosold 93ยข$1.0KExited
yes Aston Villa,yes Arsenal,yes Real Betis
Oct 19
Yes15ยข$52-$52
See every position across 360 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Brighton,yes Manchester City,yes Barcelona,yes Baltimore,yes Como,yes Napoli,yes Inter
    $47 on Yes at 4ยข, Sep 13
    +$1.2K
  2. 2
    DEN Broncos wins by over 2.5 points?
    $675 on Yes at 46ยข, Sep 28
    +$792
  3. 3
    yes Cincinnati,yes Los Angeles D,yes Buffalo,yes Detroit,yes Austria,yes Netherlands
    $94 on Yes at 15ยข, Sep 26
    +$526
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
KXUCLLEADER-27GOAL-RAPH111+$0
DEN Broncos wins by over 2.5 points?46ยข18100%+$792
PHI Eagles wins by over 6.5 points?43ยข10%-$778
Will over 2.5 goals be scored?54ยข1038%-$549
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-SHARD1-S2026D0A41291C7E-90ABF6F90BE1+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 25Oct 22

Profit by month

Jan 2026-$24
Feb 2026-$47
Mar 2026+$403
Apr 2026-$961
May 2026-$35
Jun 2026+$280
Jul 2026-$928
Sep 2026+$1.2K
Oct 2026+$69

Kalshi leaderboards

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