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Stats as of
evolutionthink
-$1.1K
- Tracked Trades
- 74
- First Seen
- Feb 28, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 31, 2026
evolutionthink is a Kalshi trader with 74 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 6 wins and 29 losses on settled markets, -$1.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: GOVPARTYIA-26-R on Oct 31.
- Win rate
- 17%
- Return on settled
- -80%
- Money traded
- $8.1K
- Typical trade
- $13.79
- Avg entry
- 17¢
- Kalshi rank
- #6,151
Profit over time
+$39.00-$1.1K
Feb 28Oct 23
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢279%0%-9 pts
20 to 40¢1035%25%-10 pts
40 to 60¢1748%44%-4 pts
60 to 80¢466%100%+34 pts
Over 80¢1691%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $71910%-$27.59
$7 to $141925%-$41.66
$15 to $641811%-$181.79
$77 to $2.9K1825%-$818.68
Categories
TradesWonProfit
US elections70%-$960.60
US politics258%-$75.88
World politics1333%+$3.66
Bitcoin110%-$110.97
Commodities1467%+$69.90
Mentions250%+$2.14
Side taken
Yes 59%41% No
If you had copied evolutionthink
$100 per bet, last 90 days
Not enough settled trades to score yet
4 of 5 needed have resolved. 28 still open.
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
GOVPARTYIA-26-R
Oct 31, 2 fills
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Iowa
Oct 23, 4 fills
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the governor election in Iowa be at least 3 percentage points?
Oct 23, 11 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$77.00Will average **gas prices** be above $4.10?$77.00 on No at 50¢, Mar 7
- 2+$19.72Will Iran close Strait of Hormuz before May 2026?$9.28 on Yes at 32¢, Mar 3
- 3+$11.76Will average **gas prices** be above $4.40?$9.24 on No at 44¢, Mar 19
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
GOVPARTYIA-26-R1+$0.00
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell this year?3¢90%-$37.33
Will Ali Khamenei leave office before 2026-04-01T14:00:00.000Z?42¢2+$0.00
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran before Jan 1, 2027?58¢4+$0.00
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Iowa14¢10%-$471.61
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 3Oct 31
Profit by month
Feb 2026-$6.54
Mar 2026-$76.02
Apr 2026-$16.97
May 2026-$9.59
Oct 2026-$960.60
Kalshi leaderboards
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