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Stats as of
experimental.gerbil9704
+$2.0K
- Tracked Trades
- 639
- First Seen
- Feb 1, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 4, 2026
- Best In NBA
- 37% won · 63 settled · +$1.3K
experimental.gerbil9704 is a Kalshi trader with 639 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 69 wins and 516 losses on settled markets, $2.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: San Diego wins on Oct 4.
- Win rate
- 12%
- Return on settled
- +13%
- Money traded
- $50.5K
- Typical trade
- $14.09
- Avg entry
- 3¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,871
Profit over time
+$3.0K-$811.00
Feb 1Oct 4
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4754%3%-1 pts
20 to 40¢8829%34%+6 pts
40 to 60¢3448%47%-1 pts
60 to 80¢1170%86%+15 pts
Over 80¢3196%100%+4 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $91609%+$2.3K
$9 to $141603%-$1.5K
$14 to $3716010%+$244.50
$37 to $10.0K15929%+$922.84
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays4394%+$702.64
NBA7137%+$1.3K
Baseball5316%-$802.40
Soccer4439%-$305.05
WNBA1113%-$17.73
NFL767%+$803.35
Side taken
Yes 91%9% No
If you had copied experimental.gerbil9704
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$33,123.85
Profit
on $17,900.00 staked
9-170
Record
5% win rate
+185%
Return
+$40.9K-$287.58
Aug 3Sep 28
-$10.0K
Max drawdown
23% below peak
3.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.95×
Profit factor
$50.1K won vs $17.0K lost
+0.1 pts
Edge vs implied
5% won at 5¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 77
- Deepest drawdown
- 108 trades
By category
sports179 settled+185%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
San Diego wins
Oct 4
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026DE7267C63A3-454BFFD4E4C
Oct 4
yes Darren Waller: 70+,yes Brock Bowers: 1+,yes Malik Washington: 1+
Oct 4
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.8Kyes Cruz Azul,yes Tijuana de Caliente,no Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Los Angeles D,yes Washington,yes Houston,yes Tampa Bay,yes Atlanta,yes Toronto,yes Milwaukee,yes Chicago WS,yes St. Louis,yes Philadelphia,yes Baltimore,yes Arizona,no Over 3.5 runs scored,no Over 5.5 runs scored,no Over 9.5 runs scored,yes Atlanta,yes Baltimore$9.26 on Yes at 1¢, Aug 29
- 2+$1.2Kyes Cruz Azul,yes Tijuana de Caliente,no Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Los Angeles D,yes Washington,yes Tampa Bay,yes Atlanta,yes Toronto,yes Milwaukee,yes Chicago WS,yes St. Louis,yes Philadelphia,no Over 6.5 runs scored,no Over 6.5 runs scored,no Over 9.5 runs scored,yes Atlanta,yes Baltimore$4.65 on Yes at 0¢, Aug 29
- 3+$1.0Kyes Toronto,yes Tampa Bay,yes Miami,yes Seattle,yes Philadelphia,yes Houston,no Over 9.5 runs scored$23.31 on Yes at 2¢, Aug 1
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes San Diego,yes Los Angeles D,yes Chicago WS,no Over 9.5 runs scored,no Over 8.5 runs scored,yes New York G,yes Dallas,yes Tampa Bay,yes Indianapolis,yes Cincinnati,yes Los Angeles R,yes Buffalo,yes Chicago,yes Baltimore0¢20%-$14.00
yes Arizona,yes Dallas,yes San Francisco,yes Tampa Bay,yes Indianapolis,yes Kansas City,yes Seattle,yes Los Angeles R,yes Minnesota,yes Buffalo,yes Chicago,yes Baltimore0¢20%-$13.80
yes Chicago WS,yes Miami,yes Cincinnati,yes Houston,yes Milwaukee,yes Detroit,yes Seattle,yes Los Angeles D,no Over 9.5 runs scored,no Over 7.5 runs scored,no Over 9.5 runs scored,no Over 11.5 runs scored,no Over 10.5 runs scored,no Over 12.5 runs scored1¢20%-$23.20
yes Arizona,yes Houston,yes San Francisco,yes Tampa Bay,yes Cincinnati,yes Las Vegas,yes Los Angeles R,yes Minnesota,yes Buffalo,yes Chicago,yes Baltimore1¢20%-$14.02
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-SHARD1-S2026230883D2CAE-DFE2FB85D1E1+$0.00
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 7Oct 4
Profit by month
Feb 2026-$29.85
Mar 2026-$41.75
Apr 2026+$483.78
May 2026-$3.78
Jun 2026-$482.98
Jul 2026-$604.27
Aug 2026+$3.4K
Sep 2026-$489.78
Oct 2026-$287.09
Kalshi leaderboards
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