Stats as of
fair.octopus2198
+$374
- Tracked Trades
- 930
- First Seen
- Jun 21, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 5, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 37% won · 287 settled · +$613
fair.octopus2198 is a Kalshi trader with 930 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 186 wins and 389 losses on settled markets, $374 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 5.
- Win rate
- 32%
- Return on settled
- +3%
- Money traded
- $32.9K
- Typical trade
- $8
- Avg entry
- 14¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,126
Profit over time
+$1.3K-$828
Jul 12Oct 5
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4276%5%-1 pts
20 to 40¢16330%39%+9 pts
40 to 60¢13150%49%+0 pts
60 to 80¢11168%54%-13 pts
Over 80¢9891%95%+4 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $123319%-$19
$1 to $823322%-$96
$8 to $2323238%-$95
$23 to $1.7K23254%+$583
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin42537%+$613
Parlays16724%+$104
MMA25133%-$153
NFL465%-$108
College football70%-$281
Baseball2260%+$235
Side taken
Yes 71%29% No
If you had copied fair.octopus2198
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$11720
Profit
on $57400 staked
185-389
Record
32% win rate
-20%
Return
126 still open
+$0-$11.7K
Jul 13Oct 5
-$11.7K
Max drawdown
65106% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.70×
Profit factor
$27.2K won vs $38.9K lost
-0.7 pts
Edge vs implied
32% won at 33¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 39
- Deepest drawdown
- 571 trades
By category
sports282 settled-10%
crypto292 settled-30%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
115 open positions worth $1.5K
The markets fair.octopus2198 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 5
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 5, 2 fills
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 5, 19 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.4KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$1.1K on No at 44¢, Oct 5
- 2+$651BTC price up in next 15 mins?$1.1K on No at 64¢, Oct 5
- 3+$578BTC price up in next 15 mins?$377 on Yes at 39¢, Oct 3
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?31¢42537%+$613
Tulsa wins35¢40%-$235
yes Carolina,yes Cincinnati,yes Kansas City,yes Buffalo,yes Las Vegas,yes Jacksonville,yes Detroit,yes Seattle,yes Tennessee1¢2+$0
yes Cleveland,yes Green Bay,yes Indianapolis,yes Jacksonville,yes Los Angeles R,yes Buffalo,yes Chicago,yes Baltimore2¢2+$0
yes Atlanta,yes Bijan Robinson: 2+,yes Chris Brooks: 1+1¢2+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 8Oct 5
Profit by month
Jul 2026-$60
Aug 2026+$38
Sep 2026-$38
Oct 2026+$434
Kalshi leaderboards
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