rivomarkets

Stats as of

myth.duck

+$414
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
May 5, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 3, 2026
Best In Soccer
58% won · 12 settled · +$560

myth.duck is a Kalshi trader with 1,000 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 106 wins and 212 losses on settled markets, $414 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Villanova wins on Oct 3.

Win rate
33%
Return on settled
+6%
Money traded
$22.8K
Typical trade
$11
Avg entry
23¢
Kalshi rank
#4,056

Profit over time

+$521-$542
May 5Oct 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2029%8%-1 pts
20 to 40¢34532%30%-2 pts
40 to 60¢28548%41%-7 pts
60 to 80¢6371%88%+17 pts
Over 80¢10593%75%-18 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $325031%+$11
$3 to $1125029%+$62
$11 to $2425034%-$253
$24 to $1.4K25039%+$594

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin53135%+$71
NBA7623%+$128
Parlays270%-$43
Baseball3253%-$163
Soccer2758%+$560
WNBA5921%-$271

Side taken

Yes 61%39% No

If you had copied myth.duck

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$709
Profit
on $13200 staked
44-88
Record
33% win rate
+5%
Return
50 still open
Profit over time132 settled trades
+$1.6K-$664
Jul 20Sep 28
-$3.1K
Max drawdown
139% below peak
0.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.08×
Profit factor
$9.5K won vs $8.8K lost
+1.2 pts
Edge vs implied
33% won at 32¢ avg
Longest losing streak
27
Deepest drawdown
42 trades

By category

sports92 settled+8%
crypto40 settled-1%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

34 open positions worth $779

The markets myth.duck is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what myth.duck is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Villanova wins
Oct 3
Yes76¢$11-$11
Western Michigan wins
Oct 3
Yes81¢$20+$5
UConn wins
Oct 3
Yes40¢$11-$11
See every position across 295 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    USA wins by more than 1.5 goals in the 1st Half?
    $54 on Yes at 10¢, Jun 13
    +$483
  2. 2
    Will San Antonio win the 1H by over 3.5 points?
    $164 on Yes at 29¢, May 19
    +$401
  3. 3
    San Antonio wins by over 5.5 points?
    $151 on Yes at 29¢, May 19
    +$371
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?36¢51735%+$71
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202638A395EA2BC-5A9654DE8731+$0
San Antonio wins by over 5.5 points?32¢350%+$272
Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 71.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 6, 2026?4¢6+$0
Will San Antonio win the 1H by over 9.5 points?36¢11+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 6Oct 3

Profit by month

May 2026+$134
Jun 2026-$194
Jul 2026+$285
Aug 2026-$60
Sep 2026+$282
Oct 2026-$33

Kalshi leaderboards

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