rivomarkets

Get an alert the moment falcon40 trades.

Their next buy lands on your phone and Telegram with the market, the side and the price.

Get alerts on falcon40

Stats as of

falcon40

+$1.4K
Tracked Trades
376
First Seen
May 11, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 4, 2026
Best In Parlays
8% won · 37 settled · +$1.7K

falcon40 is a Kalshi trader with 376 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 84 wins and 195 losses on settled markets, $1.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Mississippi? on Nov 4.

Win rate
30%
Return on settled
+10%
Money traded
$33.6K
Typical trade
$24.12
Avg entry
23¢
Kalshi rank
#2,588

Profit over time

+$1.4K-$799.00
May 11Nov 4

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢879%8%-2 pts
20 to 40¢12931%29%-2 pts
40 to 60¢10149%46%-3 pts
60 to 80¢3768%61%-7 pts
Over 80¢2290%100%+10 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $149419%-$123.30
$14 to $249423%-$562.57
$24 to $439440%-$187.67
$43 to $6.6K9451%+$2.3K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays428%+$1.7K
Bitcoin17534%-$257.24
Commodities8944%+$189.37
Baseball4719%-$127.60
US elections3+$0.00
NBA433%-$42.34

Side taken

Yes 59%41% No

If you had copied falcon40

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$4,381.23
Profit
on $18,800.00 staked
55-133
Record
29% win rate
-23%
Return
3 still open
Profit over time188 settled trades
+$0.00-$4.6K
Aug 17Nov 2
-$5.8K
Max drawdown
482% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.67×
Profit factor
$8.9K won vs $13.3K lost
-1.7 pts
Edge vs implied
29% won at 31¢ avg
Longest losing streak
21
Deepest drawdown
102 trades

By category

finance41 settled+6%
crypto81 settled-9%
sports66 settled-59%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

3 open positions worth $6.5K

The markets falcon40 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what falcon40 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Adam Hamilton,yes Troy Jackson,yes Pete Ricketts
Nov 4, 3 fills
Yes77¢sold 79¢$6.4K+$1.9K
yes Gina Hinojosa,yes Ashley Hinson,yes Adam Hamilton
Nov 4, 2 fills
Yes14¢sold 11¢$37.72-$37.72
yes Democratic Party,yes Byron Donalds,yes James Talarico
Nov 3
Yes38¢$239.59+$387.61
See every position across 171 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026JBO65EUEVSL6KZKL-EQQGRNZEB
    $5.9K on Yes at 82¢, Nov 4
    +$1.3K
  2. 2
    yes Adam Hamilton,yes Troy Jackson,yes Pete Ricketts
    $481.35 on Yes at 45¢, Nov 4
    +$590.70
  3. 3
    yes Democratic Party,yes Byron Donalds,yes James Talarico
    $239.59 on Yes at 38¢, Nov 3
    +$387.61
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026JBO65EUEVSL6KZKL-EQQGRNZEB82¢2100%+$1.3K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20267VWROOWIE3LZ3GTL-WLJC76ZLG84¢1+$0.00
BTC price up in next 15 mins?33¢14835%-$373.84
WTI Oil price up in next 15 mins?40¢7247%+$327.18
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Mississippi?38¢3+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 7Nov 4

Profit by month

May 2026-$42.34
Jun 2026-$23.77
Aug 2026+$190.13
Sep 2026-$346.02
Oct 2026-$600.64
Nov 2026+$2.2K

Kalshi leaderboards

Similar Kalshi traders

Build a bot that copies falcon40.

Bring falcon40 into the builder. Choose your size and review the backtest. Track new trades on paper or enable supported live copying through your own Kalshi account. Set your limits and inspect each execution from the bot dashboard.