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Stats as of

fancy.crayfish4158

+$2.6K
Tracked Trades
456
First Seen
Sep 29, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 27, 2026
Best In Commodities
24% won · 214 settled · +$1.9K

fancy.crayfish4158 is a Kalshi trader with 456 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 72 wins and 237 losses on settled markets, $2.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Gold price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 27.

Win rate
23%
Return on settled
+27%
Money traded
$82.7K
Typical trade
$23.26
Avg entry
3¢
Kalshi rank
#2,438

Profit over time

+$3.0K-$304.00
Sep 29Oct 27

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2136%5%+0 pts
20 to 40¢6530%30%-1 pts
40 to 60¢6050%66%+16 pts
60 to 80¢5070%68%-2 pts
Over 80¢6892%91%-1 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $711411%-$79.10
$8 to $2311414%-$48.15
$23 to $8211433%-$391.87
$85 to $25K11456%+$3.1K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Commodities31624%+$1.9K
Parlays449%+$491.83
Bitcoin9231%+$189.63
Other crypto20%-$14.32
XRP20%-$8.95

Side taken

Yes 53%47% No

If you had copied fancy.crayfish4158

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$4,974.02
Profit
on $17,200.00 staked
42-130
Record
24% win rate
+29%
Return
Profit over time172 settled trades
+$5.0K-$2.6K
Sep 28Oct 26
-$4.6K
Max drawdown
1319% below peak
1.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.38×
Profit factor
$18.0K won vs $13.0K lost
+0.3 pts
Edge vs implied
24% won at 24¢ avg
Longest losing streak
11
Deepest drawdown
137 trades

By category

sports34 settled+185%
finance107 settled-8%
crypto31 settled-16%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Gold price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 27
Sold Nosold 82¢$1.2KExited
Gold price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 27, 17 fills
Yes9¢$188.92-$188.92
Gold price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 27, 4 fills
No8¢$141.77-$141.77
See every position across 154 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Gold price up in next 15 mins?
    $91.80 on Yes at 3¢, Oct 27
    +$2.8K
  2. 2
    yes Cincinnati,yes Cleveland,yes Denver,yes Detroit,yes Minnesota,yes Seattle,yes Los Angeles R,yes Miami,yes New York G,no San Francisco,yes Tampa Bay,yes Dallas,yes Green Bay
    $10.09 on Yes at 1¢, Oct 25
    +$766.06
  3. 3
    Gold price up in next 15 mins?
    $93.85 on No at 14¢, Oct 12
    +$566.35
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Gold price up in next 15 mins?10¢31324%+$2.0K
yes Casper Ruud,yes DENDELE CS,yes BetBoom Team,yes Tampa Bay,yes Houston,yes Boston,yes Miami,yes Denver,yes Indiana,yes Utah,yes Cleveland,yes Oklahoma City,yes Charlotte,yes Dallas,yes Edmonton,yes New York R,yes Toronto0¢20%-$17.50
BTC price up in next 15 mins?4¢9231%+$189.63
yes Target Price: $6.66853,no Target Price: $4,181.96,yes Target Price: $3.01813,yes Target Price: $61.480,yes Target Price: $89.100¢20%-$4.64
no Target Price: $6.61622,no Target Price: $4,186.85,yes Target Price: $3.02582,yes Target Price: $60.683,yes Target Price: $90.600¢20%-$9.22

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 30Oct 27

Profit by month

Sep 2026-$105.25
Oct 2026+$2.7K

Kalshi leaderboards

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