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Stats as of
fantastic.capybara
+$7.4K
- Tracked Trades
- 247
- First Seen
- Mar 16, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 3, 2026
- Best In Golf
- 45% won · 20 settled · +$6.6K
fantastic.capybara is a Kalshi trader with 247 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 93 wins and 115 losses on settled markets, $7.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Texas? on Nov 3.
- Win rate
- 45%
- Return on settled
- +23%
- Money traded
- $36.6K
- Typical trade
- $47.84
- Avg entry
- 37¢
- Kalshi rank
- #816
Profit over time
+$9.2K-$421.00
Mar 16Nov 3
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3410%5%-5 pts
20 to 40¢7230%35%+6 pts
40 to 60¢9550%48%-2 pts
60 to 80¢3768%73%+5 pts
Over 80¢989%80%-9 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $196235%+$31.64
$19 to $486250%+$33.15
$48 to $966245%-$371.86
$96 to $4.8K6147%+$7.7K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Soccer8439%-$3.9K
NBA4642%+$2.4K
Golf2445%+$6.6K
Parlays933%+$2.0K
Tennis1638%+$483.96
NFL2571%+$400.66
Side taken
Yes 90%10% No
If you had copied fantastic.capybara
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$160.01
Profit
on $7,900.00 staked
38-41
Record
48% win rate
+2%
Return
+$378.57-$184.44
Aug 17Nov 2
-$822.51
Max drawdown
217% below peak
0.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.04×
Profit factor
$4.3K won vs $4.1K lost
+1.5 pts
Edge vs implied
48% won at 47¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 5
- Deepest drawdown
- 57 trades
By category
sports76 settled+6%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Texas?
Nov 3
Will Republicans win the U.S. Senate in 2026?
Nov 3
Golden State wins
Nov 3
Biggest wins
- 1+$6.2KWill Wyndham Clark win the U.S. Open?$3.3K on Yes at 35¢, Jun 20
- 2+$4.6KBoston wins$4.8K on Yes at 51¢, Oct 23
- 3+$3.0Kyes Argentina,yes France,yes Norway$1.1K on Yes at 27¢, Jun 22
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Boston wins51¢1100%+$4.6K
Panama vs Croatia Winner?42¢450%-$306.99
Will Wyndham Clark win the U.S. Open?35¢5100%+$6.2K
Belgium vs IR Iran Winner?70¢20%-$979.43
Turkiye vs Paraguay Winner?35¢60%-$783.63
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 6Nov 3
Profit by month
Mar 2026-$228.34
Jun 2026+$4.2K
Jul 2026-$39.33
Aug 2026+$26.31
Sep 2026-$38.39
Oct 2026+$3.5K
Nov 2026+$80.29
Kalshi leaderboards
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