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Stats as of

fernandosac18

+$2.3K
Tracked Trades
365
First Seen
Oct 19, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 31, 2026
Best In Bitcoin
64% won · 212 settled · +$2.7K

fernandosac18 is a Kalshi trader with 365 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 147 wins and 107 losses on settled markets, $2.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: no ARI Cardinals D/ST: 1+,no Jacoby Brissett: 1+,no Reggie Virgil: 1+,no Simi Fehoko: 1+,no DAL Cowboys D/ST: 1+,no Dak Prescott: 1+,no Tyler Goodson: 1+,no Austin Hooper: 1+,no Josh Cuevas: 1+,no Matt Hibner: 1+,no Nick Vannett: 1+,no Jackson Hawes: 1+,no Keleki Latu: 1+,no Ray Davis: 1+,no Daniel Jones: 1+,no Laquon Treadwell: 1+,no Brian Thomas Jr.: 1+,no JAC Jaguars D/ST: 1+,no Travis Hunter: 1+,no Nate Adkins: 1+,no Cyrus Allen: 1+,no Emmett Johnson: 1+,no KeAndre Lambert-Smith: 1+,no Oronde Gadsden: 1+,no Tutu Atwell: 1+,no Connor Heyward: 1+,no Cody White: 1+,no Dont'e Thornton Jr.: 1+,no Kirk Cousins: 1+,no Kenyon Sadiq: 1+,no Brock Wright: 1+,no Sione Vaki: 1+,no Gavin Bartholomew: 1+,no Jauan Jennings: 1+,no Kyler Murray: 1+,no MIN Vikings D/ST: 1+,no Tai Felton: 1+,no Corey Kiner: 1+,no Efton Chism III: 1+,no Kyle Williams: 1+,no NE Patriots D/ST: 1+,no Colbie Young: 1+,no Drew Sample: 1+,no Joe Burrow: 1+,no Mitchell Tinsley: 1+,no Cam Ward: 1+,no Elic Ayomanor: 1+,no Gunnar Helm: 1+,no Michael Carter: 1+,no Nicholas Singleton: 1+,no Caleb Williams: 1+,no Sam Roush: 1+,no Eric Saubert: 1+ on Oct 31.

Win rate
58%
Return on settled
+3%
Money traded
$98.2K
Typical trade
$47.06
Avg entry
70¢
Kalshi rank
#2,321

Profit over time

+$3.1K-$912.00
Oct 19Oct 31

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1164%5%+1 pts
20 to 40¢3028%22%-7 pts
40 to 60¢6951%59%+7 pts
60 to 80¢5069%53%-16 pts
Over 80¢10091%92%+2 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $99226%-$70.17
$9 to $479138%-$209.85
$47 to $3999168%+$1.6K
$439 to $2.9K9188%+$960.89

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin31265%+$2.7K
Parlays274%-$284.06
NBA1542%-$181.19
Soccer780%+$75.04
Baseball20%-$20.00
XRP1100%+$10.55

Side taken

Yes 53%47% No

If you had copied fernandosac18

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$1,995.43
Profit
on $16,000.00 staked
82-78
Record
51% win rate
-12%
Return
1 still open
Profit over time160 settled trades
+$0.00-$2.0K
Oct 19Oct 26
-$2.6K
Max drawdown
5013% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.74×
Profit factor
$5.8K won vs $7.8K lost
-1.2 pts
Edge vs implied
51% won at 52¢ avg
Longest losing streak
8
Deepest drawdown
66 trades

By category

crypto128 settled-9%
sports29 settled-24%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $0.78

The markets fernandosac18 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what fernandosac18 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Golden State wins
Oct 31
Sold Nosold 7¢$2.90Exited
yes Real Madrid,yes Barcelona,yes Washington,yes Boston,yes Detroit,yes Miami,yes Minnesota,yes Philadelphia,yes Stephen Curry: 25+,yes Luka Dončić: 35+,yes Stephen Curry: 2+,yes Los Angeles L over 110.5 points
Oct 31
Sold Nosold 99¢$113.51Exited
Golden State wins
Oct 31, 2 fills
Yes59¢$24.31+$17.11
See every position across 134 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $405.24 on Yes at 27¢, Oct 30
    +$1.1K
  2. 2
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $701.01 on Yes at 43¢, Oct 30
    +$929.25
  3. 3
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $1.2K on No at 58¢, Oct 29
    +$831.90
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?81¢31265%+$2.7K
yes Fluminense,yes Bragantino,yes Chelsea advances,yes America,yes Chicago Fire,yes Charlotte,yes Miami,yes Minnesota,yes Nashville,yes New York City,yes Toronto0¢20%-$9.14
yes Bayern Munich,yes Real Madrid,yes Barcelona,yes PSG40¢20%-$241.76
Los Angeles L wins63¢50%-$193.93
yes Detroit,yes Denver,yes Golden State,yes Houston,yes Miami,yes New York,yes Toronto,yes Philadelphia,yes Cleveland7¢2100%+$132.60

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 3Oct 31

Profit by month

Oct 2026+$2.3K

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