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Stats as of
fernss
-$818.49
- Tracked Trades
- 492
- First Seen
- Oct 22, 2025
- Last Trade
- Nov 3, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 8% won · 266 settled · +$1.5K
fernss is a Kalshi trader with 492 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 55 wins and 388 losses on settled markets, -$818.49 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026BZXCM7RDLXDAOZPN-YSWBM6F3E on Nov 3.
- Win rate
- 12%
- Return on settled
- -6%
- Money traded
- $24.2K
- Typical trade
- $18.73
- Avg entry
- 4¢
- Kalshi rank
- #6,056
Profit over time
+$173.00-$2.6K
Oct 22Nov 3
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3566%7%+2 pts
20 to 40¢8629%25%-4 pts
40 to 60¢2549%44%-4 pts
60 to 80¢1468%75%+7 pts
Over 80¢1192%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $71232%-$233.60
$7 to $191237%+$1.2K
$19 to $4712321%+$1.1K
$47 to $2.2K12323%-$2.8K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays2778%+$1.5K
NFL5520%-$826.66
NBA8025%+$16.23
College football1929%-$529.44
Tennis1714%-$33.57
College basketball249%-$410.97
Side taken
Yes 90%10% No
If you had copied fernss
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$5,239.67
Profit
on $20,900.00 staked
14-195
Record
7% win rate
-25%
Return
+$3.6K-$5.2K
Aug 3Nov 2
-$11.6K
Max drawdown
199% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.73×
Profit factor
$14.3K won vs $19.5K lost
+1.3 pts
Edge vs implied
7% won at 5¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 77
- Deepest drawdown
- 145 trades
By category
sports209 settled-25%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026BZXCM7RDLXDAOZPN-YSWBM6F3E
Nov 3
yes Real Madrid,yes PSG,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes LASK,no Lille,yes Roma,yes PSG,yes Real Madrid,yes Liverpool,yes Manchester City,yes Arsenal,no Bayern Munich wins by more than 1.5 goals,no Sporting CP wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored
Nov 3, 2 fills
yes Bayern Munich,yes Barcelona,yes Bodoe/Glimt,yes Inter,yes Galatasaray,yes Roma,yes Sporting CP,yes PSG
Nov 3
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.3Kyes Max Basing,yes Enrico Dalla Valle,yes Mika Brunold,yes Ji Sung Nam,yes Genaro Alberto Olivieri,yes Ilya Ivashka$27.98 on Yes at 2¢, Sep 10
- 2+$583.59yes Los Angeles D,yes New York Y,yes San Diego,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,no Over 12.5 runs scored,no Over 11.5 runs scored,no Over 12.5 runs scored,yes Over 6.5 runs scored,no Over 11.5 runs scored,no Over 12.5 runs scored,yes Kansas City,no Bo Nix: 3+,no Patrick Mahomes: 3+,no Bo Nix: 4+,yes Patrick Mahomes: 1+,no Bo Nix: 350+,yes Patrick Mahomes: 150+,no Patrick Mahomes: 30+$18.67 on Yes at 3¢, Sep 14
- 3+$480.29yes Matisse Bobichon,yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Borna Gojo,yes Pavel Lagutin,yes Oriol Roca Batalla,yes Luka Mikrut,yes Bernard Tomic$32.84 on Yes at 6¢, Sep 15
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026BZXCM7RDLXDAOZPN-YSWBM6F3E1+$0.00
Denver at Kansas City Winner?15¢20%-$188.70
Georgia at Alabama Winner?30¢30%-$309.76
Sacramento at New York Winner?14¢20%-$94.22
yes Atlanta,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Italy,yes Sweden,yes Over 1.5 goals scored4¢20%-$18.73
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 6Nov 3
Profit by month
Dec 2025-$254.48
Jan 2026-$586.97
Feb 2026-$564.80
Mar 2026-$86.80
Apr 2026+$224.06
May 2026+$488.85
Jun 2026-$296.91
Jul 2026+$41.13
Aug 2026-$77.05
Sep 2026+$1.7K
Oct 2026-$937.19
Nov 2026+$557.55
Kalshi leaderboards
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