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Stats as of
fiscal.chinchilla9863
-$366
- Tracked Trades
- 392
- First Seen
- Oct 20, 2025
- Last Trade
- Oct 16, 2026
fiscal.chinchilla9863 is a Kalshi trader with 392 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 95 wins and 194 losses on settled markets, -$366 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Gold price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 16.
- Win rate
- 33%
- Return on settled
- -3%
- Money traded
- $21.8K
- Typical trade
- $9
- Avg entry
- 30¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,107
Profit over time
+$0-$1.4K
Oct 20Oct 16
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1277%5%-2 pts
20 to 40¢7230%16%-14 pts
40 to 60¢12148%49%+0 pts
60 to 80¢3169%100%+31 pts
Over 80¢4189%100%+11 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $59817%-$112
$5 to $99815%-$219
$9 to $429849%+$43
$43 to $1.0K9857%-$78
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Commodities27250%-$13
Parlays868%-$221
Bitcoin1100%+$45
NFL1010%-$65
Soccer10%-$47
Mentions60%-$46
Side taken
Yes 63%37% No
If you had copied fiscal.chinchilla9863
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$2160
Profit
on $20900 staked
89-120
Record
43% win rate
-10%
Return
+$0-$3.4K
Sep 21Oct 12
-$4.9K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.82×
Profit factor
$9.8K won vs $12.0K lost
+2.2 pts
Edge vs implied
43% won at 40¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 29
- Deepest drawdown
- 63 trades
By category
sports39 settled-10%
finance169 settled-10%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Gold price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 16
Gold price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 16, 2 fills
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 16
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.3KGold price up in next 15 mins?$1.3K on Yes at 51¢, Oct 13
- 2+$406Gold price up in next 15 mins?$465 on No at 53¢, Oct 13
- 3+$388Gold price up in next 15 mins?$191 on No at 33¢, Oct 13
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Gold price up in next 15 mins?50¢27250%-$13
BTC price up in next 15 mins?95¢1100%+$45
yes Philadelphia,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Miami (OH),yes Texas,yes Alabama26¢10%-$48
Kansas City wins20¢10%-$47
Atlanta at San Francisco Winner?42¢30%-$24
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 19Oct 16
Profit by month
Oct 2025-$84
Nov 2025-$41
Dec 2025-$15
Jan 2026-$106
Feb 2026-$21
Mar 2026-$75
Jun 2026-$9
Jul 2026-$37
Sep 2026-$19
Oct 2026+$42
Kalshi leaderboards
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