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Stats as of

Kalshi

fiscal.moth0653

+$5.5K
Tracked Trades
274
First Seen
Nov 27, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 29, 2026
Best In Parlays
8% won · 61 settled · +$6.3K

fiscal.moth0653 is a Kalshi trader with 274 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 53 wins and 175 losses on settled markets, $5.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Daniil Medvedev,yes Tommy Paul,yes David Picasso,yes Mainz,yes KK Crvena zvezda Belgrade,yes Maccabi Tel-Aviv,yes Real Madrid,yes Villarreal,yes PSG,yes Stade Rennais,yes Portland,yes New Orleans,yes Green Bay,yes Carolina,yes Tampa Bay,yes Azamat Bekoev on Oct 29.

Win rate
23%
Return on settled
+67%
Money traded
$118.3K
Typical trade
$19.22
Avg entry
1¢
Kalshi rank
#1,415

Profit over time

+$5.8K-$1.7K
Nov 27Oct 29

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1446%9%+3 pts
20 to 40¢5628%33%+5 pts
40 to 60¢2049%47%-1 pts
60 to 80¢2769%64%-5 pts
Over 80¢2790%100%+10 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $96925%-$56.91
$9 to $196914%-$468.30
$19 to $476816%-$1.1K
$47 to $100K6850%+$7.1K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays698%+$6.3K
Soccer17828%-$852.31
College basketball950%+$194.16
College football540%-$26.80
NBA20%-$56.11
Bitcoin250%-$22.98

Side taken

Yes 84%16% No

If you had copied fiscal.moth0653

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$1,442.13
Profit
on $4,400.00 staked
8-36
Record
18% win rate
-33%
Return
3 still open
Profit over time44 settled trades
+$17.65-$1.4K
Aug 3Oct 26
-$2.5K
Max drawdown
14408% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.60×
Profit factor
$2.2K won vs $3.6K lost
+8.8 pts
Edge vs implied
18% won at 9¢ avg
Longest losing streak
20
Deepest drawdown
34 trades

By category

sports43 settled-45%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

3 open positions worth $130.90

The markets fiscal.moth0653 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what fiscal.moth0653 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Daniil Medvedev,yes Tommy Paul,yes David Picasso,yes Mainz,yes KK Crvena zvezda Belgrade,yes Maccabi Tel-Aviv,yes Real Madrid,yes Villarreal,yes PSG,yes Stade Rennais,yes Portland,yes New Orleans,yes Green Bay,yes Carolina,yes Tampa Bay,yes Azamat Bekoev
Oct 29
Yes0¢$138.42-$138.42
yes Christian Harrison / Neal Skupski,yes Ryan Seggerman / Learner Tien,yes Francisco Cabral / James Tracy,yes Jiri Lehecka,yes Carlos Alcaraz,yes Novak Djokovic,yes Taylor Fritz,yes Arthur Fils,yes Daniil Medvedev,yes Tommy Paul,yes Jerome Kym,yes Rafael Jodar,yes Fanny Stollar / Fang-Hsien Wu,yes Elena Rybakina,yes Naomi Osaka,yes Zeynep Sonmez,yes Lilli Tagger,yes Maria Timofeeva
Oct 29, 4 fills
Yes0¢$102.02-$102.02
yes Martin Damm Jr,yes Jiri Lehecka,yes Flavio Cobolli,yes Carlos Alcaraz,yes Novak Djokovic,yes Lorenzo Musetti,yes Taylor Fritz,yes Arthur Fils,yes Daniil Medvedev,yes Tommy Paul,yes Ben Shelton,yes Rafael Jodar,yes Alexander Zverev,yes Elena Rybakina,yes Anna Bondar,yes Naomi Osaka,yes Zeynep Sonmez,yes Diana Shnaider,yes Maya Joint,yes Lilli Tagger,yes Maria Timofeeva
Oct 29, 2 fills
Yes0¢$72.78-$72.78
See every position across 191 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026GF22PKULW6IOABLF-Z6TD7DAK2
    $661.60 on Yes at 17¢, Oct 29
    +$3.1K
  2. 2
    yes Houston wins 1st Half,yes Tie 1st Half,yes Vancouver wins 1st Half,yes Houston,yes Vancouver
    $567.22 on Yes at 18¢, Oct 29
    +$2.6K
  3. 3
    yes Salt Lake,yes Tie,yes Columbus,yes Minnesota,yes Tie,yes Portland
    $284.95 on Yes at 25¢, Oct 29
    +$864.04
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Aston Villa,yes Tottenham,yes Hull City,yes Brighton,yes Bournemouth,yes Real Madrid0¢20%-$40.00
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026GF22PKULW6IOABLF-Z6TD7DAK217¢2100%+$3.1K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026BWNC7CGO5KQPOOJ4-GIARRXCPA1+$0.00
Algeria vs Congo DR Winner?18¢20%-$92.52
yes Houston wins 1st Half,yes Tie 1st Half,yes Vancouver wins 1st Half,yes Houston,yes Vancouver18¢2100%+$2.6K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 1Oct 29

Profit by month

Nov 2025-$343.31
Dec 2025+$251.49
Jan 2026-$597.68
Feb 2026-$59.91
Mar 2026-$84.87
Apr 2026+$1.00
May 2026+$0.10
Jun 2026-$385.02
Jul 2026-$272.10
Aug 2026+$0.17
Sep 2026-$116.73
Oct 2026+$7.1K

Kalshi leaderboards

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