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Stats as of

fit.shirt

+$2.5K
Tracked Trades
954
First Seen
Jul 19, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 20, 2026
Best In US politics
89% won · 847 settled · +$2.5K

fit.shirt is a Kalshi trader with 954 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 757 wins and 90 losses on settled markets, $2.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will there be at least 4 presidential actions in the week of Oct 18, 2026? on Oct 20.

Win rate
89%
Return on settled
+2%
Money traded
$115.7K
Typical trade
$22
Avg entry
90¢
Kalshi rank
#2,274

Profit over time

+$4.2K-$1.1K
Jul 19Oct 17

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢906%33%+27 pts
20 to 40¢7530%37%+7 pts
40 to 60¢4248%68%+19 pts
60 to 80¢10671%85%+13 pts
Over 80¢64195%99%+4 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $323975%+$19
$3 to $2223992%+$301
$23 to $12323893%+$995
$125 to $2.2K23895%+$1.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
US politics95489%+$2.5K

Side taken

Yes 23%77% No

If you had copied fit.shirt

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$12376
Profit
on $78000 staked
694-86
Record
89% win rate
+16%
Return
6 still open
Profit over time780 settled trades
+$13.1K+$0
Jul 20Oct 19
-$2.7K
Max drawdown
38% below peak
4.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.44×
Profit factor
$21.0K won vs $8.6K lost
+6.4 pts
Edge vs implied
89% won at 83¢ avg
Longest losing streak
14
Deepest drawdown
126 trades

By category

politics776 settled+16%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

3 open positions worth $71

The markets fit.shirt is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what fit.shirt is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will there be at least 2 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?
Oct 17, 9 fills
No79¢sold 45¢$563+$148
Will there be at least 1 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?
Oct 17, 7 fills
Yes97¢$3.6K+$110
Will there be at least 1 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?
Oct 16, 13 fills
No64¢sold 2¢$1.8K-$1.8K
See every position across 118 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will there be at least 10 presidential actions in the week of Jul 19, 2026?
    $741 on Yes at 52¢, Jul 23
    +$671
  2. 2
    Will there be at least 5 presidential actions in the week of Sep 27, 2026?
    $3.1K on Yes at 89¢, Oct 2
    +$400
  3. 3
    Will there be at least 10 presidential actions in the week of Sep 6, 2026?
    $1.2K on No at 83¢, Sep 12
    +$251
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will there be at least 1 presidential actions in the week of Oct 11, 2026?83¢2037%-$1.7K
Will there be at least 15 presidential actions in the week of Sep 13, 2026?99¢7100%+$49
Will there be at least 15 presidential actions in the week of Sep 6, 2026?93¢2375%+$64
Will there be at least 7 presidential actions in the week of Sep 27, 2026?98¢11100%+$97
Will there be at least 8 presidential actions in the week of Sep 27, 2026?94¢11100%+$230

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 23Oct 20

Profit by month

Jul 2026-$52
Aug 2026+$1.6K
Sep 2026+$828
Oct 2026+$123

Kalshi leaderboards

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