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Stats as of

fleet.file

+$2.7K
Tracked Trades
364
First Seen
Mar 19, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 4, 2026

fleet.file is a Kalshi trader with 364 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 6 wins and 343 losses on settled markets, $2.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026IP55FPTWLSGTWSY4-KJBG6CS3A on Nov 4.

Win rate
2%
Return on settled
+31%
Money traded
$10.5K
Typical trade
$16.97
Avg entry
1¢
Kalshi rank
#3,400

Profit over time

+$3.6K-$3.3K
Mar 19Nov 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3531%1%+0 pts
20 to 40¢532%25%-7 pts
40 to 60¢549%0%-49 pts
60 to 80¢170%100%+30 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $9910%-$560.02
$9 to $17910%-$894.61
$17 to $32910%-$1.9K
$33 to $512918%+$6.0K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays3471%+$3.5K
Bitcoin717%-$493.72
NBA20%-$248.39
Soccer717%-$92.03
Other crypto10%-$27.31

Side taken

Yes 99%1% No

If you had copied fleet.file

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$10,752.68
Profit
on $20,100.00 staked
2-199
Record
1% win rate
-53%
Return
Profit over time201 settled trades
+$0.00-$14.7K
Aug 10Nov 2
-$16.8K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.46×
Profit factor
$9.1K won vs $19.9K lost
-0.6 pts
Edge vs implied
1% won at 2¢ avg
Longest losing streak
115
Deepest drawdown
171 trades

By category

sports197 settled-54%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Houston,yes Carolina,yes Minnesota,yes Montreal,no Atletico,no Feyenoord,yes Galatasaray,no Shakhtar,yes PSG,yes Real Madrid,yes Liverpool,yes Manchester City,yes Arsenal,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored
Nov 4, 2 fills
Yes1¢sold 8¢$18.52-$18.52
yes Carolina,yes Minnesota,yes Montreal,no Atletico,yes Barcelona,yes Roma,yes Real Madrid,yes Liverpool,yes Manchester City,yes Arsenal
Nov 3
Yes3¢$46.79-$46.79
yes Carolina,yes Minnesota,yes Montreal,no Atletico,yes Galatasaray,no Shakhtar,yes PSG,yes Real Madrid,yes Liverpool,yes Manchester City,yes Arsenal,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored
Nov 3
Yes1¢$18.67-$18.67
See every position across 346 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Real Madrid,yes Cleveland,yes San Antonio,yes Philadelphia,yes Portland,yes Memphis,yes Carolina,yes Buffalo,yes Dallas,yes Colorado,yes Ottawa,yes Montreal,yes Over 1.5 goals scored
    $46.61 on Yes at 1¢, Oct 31
    +$4.2K
  2. 2
    yes France,yes Norway,yes Colombia,yes Croatia,yes Brazil,yes Switzerland,yes Argentina wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Portugal wins by more than 1.5 goals
    $46.51 on Yes at 1¢, Jun 22
    +$3.8K
  3. 3
    yes Belgium advances,yes Portugal advances,yes Reg Time: Both Teams To Score,yes Reg Time: Both Teams To Score,yes Goal Diff Reg Time: Spain wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Goal Diff Reg Time: France wins by more than 1.5 goals,no Reg Time: Over 3.5 goals scored,no Reg Time: Over 3.5 goals scored,no Reg Time: Over 4.5 goals scored
    $34.80 on Yes at 2¢, Jun 29
    +$2.0K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?10¢620%-$484.36
yes France,yes Norway,yes Colombia,yes Croatia,yes Brazil,yes Switzerland,yes Argentina wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Portugal wins by more than 1.5 goals1¢2100%+$3.8K
yes France,yes Argentina wins by over 1.5 goals,yes Norway wins by over 1.5 goals,yes Austria wins by over 1.5 goals,yes England wins by over 1.5 goals,yes Portugal wins by over 1.5 goals1¢20%-$187.05
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026IP55FPTWLSGTWSY4-KJBG6CS3A1+$0.00
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026B5F4SN7SE6HWSC2M-YUKFUK5R71+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 7Nov 4

Profit by month

Mar 2026-$281.11
Apr 2026+$71.69
May 2026-$450.35
Jun 2026+$2.4K
Jul 2026-$868.84
Aug 2026-$260.01
Sep 2026-$555.53
Oct 2026+$3.4K
Nov 2026-$878.79

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