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Stats as of
fluid.fire
+$8.7K
- Tracked Trades
- 720
- First Seen
- May 2, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 4, 2026
fluid.fire is a Kalshi trader with 720 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 282 wins and 423 losses on settled markets, $8.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Full Game: Over 45.5 points scored on Nov 4.
- Win rate
- 40%
- Return on settled
- +7%
- Money traded
- $127.1K
- Typical trade
- $94.45
- Avg entry
- 37¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,383
Profit over time
+$11.7K-$1.2K
May 2Nov 4
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢13411%16%+4 pts
20 to 40¢17228%26%-2 pts
40 to 60¢40650%54%+4 pts
60 to 80¢561%0%-61 pts
Over 80¢398%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$10 to $5218026%+$597.32
$52 to $9418038%+$1.9K
$94 to $19418044%+$1.7K
$194 to $72918053%+$4.5K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
NFL9652%-$806.50
College football6867%+$8.4K
Parlays27621%+$1.6K
Baseball21750%+$499.20
NBA5147%-$465.44
Soccer1136%-$266.36
Side taken
Yes 79%21% No
If you had copied fluid.fire
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$6,231.81
Profit
on $58,300.00 staked
241-342
Record
41% win rate
+11%
Return
+$7.3K-$643.00
Aug 3Nov 2
-$4.6K
Max drawdown
119% below peak
1.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.18×
Profit factor
$40.4K won vs $34.2K lost
+2.6 pts
Edge vs implied
41% won at 39¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 13
- Deepest drawdown
- 150 trades
By category
sports570 settled+12%
other12 settled-36%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Full Game: Over 45.5 points scored
Nov 4, 2 fills
Miami (OH) wins by over 14.5 points
Nov 4, 8 fills
Miami (OH) wins by over 6.5 points
Nov 4, 3 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.3Kyes Los Angeles D,yes San Diego,no Over 6.5 runs scored$188.46 on Yes at 13¢, Oct 6
- 2+$1.1Kyes Carolina wins by over 4.5 points,yes New Orleans wins by over 3.5 points,yes Over 36.5 points,yes Over 47.5 points$70.27 on Yes at 6¢, Oct 18
- 3+$1.1Kyes Philadelphia,yes Cleveland,yes Over 8.5 runs scored,no Over 8.5 runs scored$83.86 on Yes at 7¢, Aug 15
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Over 8.5 runs scored52¢2050%+$8.19
Over 7.5 runs scored51¢1663%+$42.91
Over 6.5 runs scored50¢1075%+$1.2K
Atlanta wins49¢250%+$381.31
Full Game: over 52.5 points scored?52¢30%-$773.99
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 7Nov 4
Profit by month
May 2026-$507.05
Jun 2026-$382.47
Jul 2026-$298.77
Aug 2026+$1.6K
Sep 2026+$2.1K
Oct 2026+$6.1K
Nov 2026+$36.70
Kalshi leaderboards
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