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Stats as of

formidable.jay1151

-$1.5K
Tracked Trades
563
First Seen
Jul 2, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 5, 2026
Best In Bitcoin
57% won · 30 settled · +$2.1K

formidable.jay1151 is a Kalshi trader with 563 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 134 wins and 382 losses on settled markets, -$1.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Nov 5.

Win rate
26%
Return on settled
-13%
Money traded
$14.7K
Typical trade
$21.92
Avg entry
14¢
Kalshi rank
#3,052

Profit over time

+$333.00-$1.7K
Jul 2Nov 5

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2249%9%+0 pts
20 to 40¢14730%24%-5 pts
40 to 60¢14052%52%+0 pts
60 to 80¢3165%48%-17 pts
Over 80¢2194%50%-44 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1314110%-$403.76
$14 to $2214120%-$23.39
$22 to $2514136%-$286.20
$25 to $22214042%-$771.02

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays34317%-$684.59
Tennis5450%+$282.21
Baseball4727%-$678.09
Bitcoin2453%+$108.13
College football3148%-$80.97
NFL2243%-$97.78

Side taken

Yes 90%10% No

If you had copied formidable.jay1151

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$6,371.30
Profit
on $43,400.00 staked
110-324
Record
25% win rate
-15%
Return
3 still open
Profit over time434 settled trades
+$173.93-$10.1K
Aug 3Nov 2
-$11.5K
Max drawdown
1151% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.80×
Profit factor
$26.0K won vs $32.4K lost
-2.9 pts
Edge vs implied
25% won at 28¢ avg
Longest losing streak
27
Deepest drawdown
302 trades

By category

crypto19 settled+17%
sports413 settled-16%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

2 open positions worth $219.02

The markets formidable.jay1151 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what formidable.jay1151 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 5, 4 fills
No50¢sold 68¢$94.79+$94.79
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 5, 2 fills
No62¢sold 91¢$95.46+$58.51
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 5
Yes61¢$36.01-$36.01
See every position across 501 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Payton Pritchard: 4+,yes Austin Reaves: 4+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 2+,yes De'Aaron Fox: 20+,yes Toumani Camara: 10+,yes Paul George: 4+,yes OG Anunoby: 4+,yes Jrue Holiday: 2+,yes Devin Vassell: 4+
    $14.03 on Yes at 4¢, Oct 27
    +$345.71
  2. 2
    yes Los Angeles L,yes New York,yes Dallas
    $14.06 on Yes at 6¢, Oct 29
    +$209.11
  3. 3
    yes Spain advances,yes France: 5+,yes Reg Time: Over 1.5 goals scored
    $43.54 on Yes at 19¢, Jul 14
    +$179.74
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?28¢2453%+$108.13
Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?23¢30%-$243.80
yes Los Angeles L,yes New York,yes Dallas6¢2100%+$209.11
Will a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative in California pass?79¢2+$0.00
Alex Molcan wins53¢3100%+$63.24

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 8Nov 5

Profit by month

Jul 2026+$131.90
Aug 2026-$165.66
Sep 2026-$853.33
Oct 2026-$330.56
Nov 2026-$266.72

Kalshi leaderboards

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