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Stats as of
fresh.deskpony
+$3.8K
- Tracked Trades
- 654
- First Seen
- Sep 11, 2025
- Last Trade
- Oct 31, 2026
- Best In Baseball
- 58% won · 19 settled · +$1.3K
fresh.deskpony is a Kalshi trader with 654 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 196 wins and 246 losses on settled markets, $3.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026Z3XAQ5ABCQQLSYDJ-Y65DTKKSQ on Oct 31.
- Win rate
- 44%
- Return on settled
- +9%
- Money traded
- $92.6K
- Typical trade
- $63.28
- Avg entry
- 21¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,929
Profit over time
+$4.1K-$3.1K
Sep 11Oct 30
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1747%6%-1 pts
20 to 40¢11230%30%+0 pts
40 to 60¢15750%49%-1 pts
60 to 80¢11469%79%+10 pts
Over 80¢9789%92%+3 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1916430%-$245.23
$19 to $6316438%-$108.72
$64 to $14016346%-$1.6K
$140 to $7.1K16367%+$5.7K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays32132%+$402.43
Soccer7562%+$654.01
Tennis10071%+$1.3K
NFL3322%-$175.41
Baseball2858%+$1.3K
College football2262%-$373.13
Side taken
Yes 66%34% No
If you had copied fresh.deskpony
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$4,402.83
Profit
on $38,000.00 staked
163-217
Record
43% win rate
-12%
Return
+$0.00-$5.0K
Aug 10Oct 26
-$5.2K
Max drawdown
5963% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.80×
Profit factor
$17.3K won vs $21.7K lost
+1.2 pts
Edge vs implied
43% won at 42¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 11
- Deepest drawdown
- 224 trades
By category
crypto21 settled+54%
sports358 settled-16%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026Z3XAQ5ABCQQLSYDJ-Y65DTKKSQ
Oct 31
Parlay: Not Over 134.5 points + New York + Kent St. + Over 1.5 goals scored + Over 1.5 goals scored + Over 1.5 goals scored
Oct 31
Green Bay wins
Oct 30
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.5Kyes Midtjylland,yes Trabzonspor$287.04 on Yes at 16¢, Oct 19
- 2+$1.2KTampa Bay wins$1.2K on Yes at 50¢, Oct 28
- 3+$1.1Kyes Frankfurt,yes FC Köln,yes Como$188.63 on Yes at 14¢, Oct 27
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Al-Ittihad,yes Al Qadsiah,yes Otto Virtanen,yes Lautaro Midon,yes Holger Rune,yes Casper Ruud,yes Learner Tien,yes Nuno Borges,yes Alex de Minaur,yes Jakub Mensik,yes Sevilla,yes SL Benfica,yes PSG,yes Jasmine Paolini0¢20%-$9.29
yes Bayern Munich,yes Dortmund,yes Atletico,yes Villarreal,yes Real Madrid,yes PSG,yes Al Qadsiah,yes Inter,yes Roma,yes Napoli2¢20%-$93.33
Tampa Bay wins59¢5100%+$1.4K
yes Viborg,yes Tottenham,yes Trabzonspor5¢30%-$154.80
Seattle wins54¢1618%-$711.63
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 3Oct 31
Profit by month
Sep 2025+$6.72
Feb 2026-$5.68
Aug 2026-$212.54
Sep 2026-$98.16
Oct 2026+$4.1K
Kalshi leaderboards
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