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Stats as of

frightened.kiwi

+$46.9K
Tracked Trades
918
First Seen
Dec 11, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 10, 2026
Best In Soccer
52% won · 64 settled · +$38.9K

frightened.kiwi is a Kalshi trader with 918 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 420 wins and 189 losses on settled markets, $46.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Virginia Tech qualify for the College Football Playoffs? on Oct 10.

Win rate
69%
Return on settled
+98%
Money traded
$138.8K
Typical trade
$18
Avg entry
26¢
Kalshi rank
#98

Profit over time

+$46.9K+$0
Dec 11Sep 27

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢15412%11%+0 pts
20 to 40¢12630%46%+16 pts
40 to 60¢15249%91%+42 pts
60 to 80¢24069%94%+26 pts
Over 80¢24691%100%+9 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $623059%+$43
$6 to $1823074%+$575
$18 to $7622970%+$1.2K
$76 to $11K22973%+$45.1K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Soccer10152%+$38.9K
Companies24267%+$1.6K
Economic data305100%+$7.5K
Mentions20238%-$2.3K
College basketball938%+$384
NBA12100%+$1.2K

Side taken

Yes 68%32% No

If you had copied frightened.kiwi

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$104
Profit
on $500 staked
2-3
Record
40% win rate
-21%
Return
3 still open
Profit over time5 settled trades
+$0-$221
Aug 31Sep 21

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 5 so far.

By category

sports5 settled-21%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $19

The markets frightened.kiwi is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what frightened.kiwi is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Virginia Tech qualify for the College Football Playoffs?
Oct 10, 4 fills
Sold Nosold 99¢$107Exited
Denver wins
Sep 27
Yes46¢$14+$17
Will New York Y win the 2026 Pro Baseball Championship?
Sep 5
Yes11¢$9-$9
See every position across 75 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the Spain win the 2026 Men's World Cup?
    $9.5K on Yes at 19¢, Jul 15
    +$41.6K
  2. 2
    France vs Spain: To Advance
    $2.4K on Yes at 42¢, Jul 11
    +$3.3K
  3. 3
    Will Elon Musk be a trillionaire before 2027?
    $5.7K on Yes at 67¢, Jun 8
    +$2.8K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the Spain win the 2026 Men's World Cup?19¢45100%+$41.6K
Will the England win the 2026 Men's World Cup?10¢250%-$2.1K
When will SpaceX IPO?50¢16081%+$2.8K
Will the Argentina win the 2026 Men's World Cup?16¢70%-$1.9K
Will the USA win the 2026 Men's World Cup?4¢50%-$328

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 13Oct 10

Profit by month

Dec 2025+$1.6K
Jan 2026+$626
Feb 2026+$48
Mar 2026+$2.3K
Apr 2026+$61
May 2026+$1.9K
Jun 2026+$29.6K
Jul 2026+$10.8K
Sep 2026+$3

Kalshi leaderboards

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