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Stats as of

gain.fog

-$14.4K
Tracked Trades
480
First Seen
Apr 30, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 8, 2026
Best In Tennis
87% won · 193 settled · +$1.9K

This trader is a closer

56% of this trader's buys are at 95¢ or higher, on outcomes that are nearly decided. The win rate is high because the odds are short: copying them risks 95¢ or more to make 5¢ or less. If you want better odds, skip their 95¢+ buys or pick someone else.

gain.fog is a Kalshi trader with 480 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 340 wins and 70 losses on settled markets, -$14.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26NOV08HUDBOU-HUD on Nov 8.

Win rate
83%
Return on settled
-8%
Money traded
$206.7K
Typical trade
$75.60
Avg entry
85¢
Kalshi rank
#4,749

Profit over time

+$3.0K-$16.1K
Apr 30Nov 8

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢247%0%-7 pts
20 to 40¢2230%45%+15 pts
40 to 60¢2451%45%-6 pts
60 to 80¢6772%67%-5 pts
Over 80¢34392%91%-1 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$1 to $1912086%-$28.86
$19 to $7312083%-$145.67
$78 to $47312076%+$413.22
$476 to $5.2K12086%-$14.6K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Cricket14377%-$16.8K
Tennis21387%+$1.9K
Soccer3177%+$30.53
Bitcoin2385%+$207.73
Basketball6100%+$11.67
Baseball4295%-$25.51

Side taken

Yes 99%1% No

If you had copied gain.fog

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$415.49
Profit
on $5,100.00 staked
38-13
Record
75% win rate
-8%
Return
1 still open
Profit over time51 settled trades
+$28.52-$468.66
Aug 10Nov 2
-$583.12
Max drawdown
1134% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.68×
Profit factor
$884.51 won vs $1.3K lost
-6.2 pts
Edge vs implied
75% won at 81¢ avg
Longest losing streak
2
Deepest drawdown
23 trades

By category

sports46 settled-3%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26NOV08HUDBOU-HUD
Nov 8
Yes95¢$1.3K+$67.02
Clement Chidekh wins
Nov 7
Yes43¢$96.16-$96.16
Diletta Cherubini wins
Nov 7
Yes85¢$1.6K+$288.15
See every position across 349 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Marta Kostyuk win the Blinkova vs Kostyuk: Round Of 64 match?
    $5.0K on Yes at 71¢, Jul 2
    +$2.0K
  2. 2
    Ben Shelton wins
    $1.1K on Yes at 47¢, Nov 7
    +$1.3K
  3. 3
    West Indies vs Sri Lanka Winner?
    $3.9K on Yes at 79¢, Jun 14
    +$1.1K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
West Indies vs Sri Lanka Winner?89¢3100%+$1.4K
South Africa vs Pakistan Winner?88¢2100%+$486.82
England vs India Winner?89¢5100%+$561.20
New Zealand vs Sri Lanka Winner?91¢350%-$5.0K
Will Marta Kostyuk win the Blinkova vs Kostyuk: Round Of 64 match?71¢2100%+$2.0K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 11Nov 8

Profit by month

Apr 2026+$3.74
May 2026+$2.4K
Jun 2026-$9.7K
Jul 2026-$7.3K
Aug 2026-$760.94
Sep 2026-$5.76
Oct 2026-$296.96
Nov 2026+$1.2K

Kalshi leaderboards

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