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Stats as of
gear.pond
-$233
- Tracked Trades
- 260
- First Seen
- Feb 23, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 19, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 61% won · 44 settled · +$396
gear.pond is a Kalshi trader with 260 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 53 wins and 141 losses on settled markets, -$233 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Cincinnati,yes Green Bay,yes New England wins by over 2.5 points,yes Kansas City wins by over 2.5 points on Oct 19.
- Win rate
- 27%
- Return on settled
- -2%
- Money traded
- $23.3K
- Typical trade
- $48
- Avg entry
- 10¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,053
Profit over time
+$556-$2.4K
Feb 23Oct 19
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢11210%13%+3 pts
20 to 40¢6629%25%-5 pts
40 to 60¢4650%56%+7 pts
60 to 80¢1865%46%-19 pts
Over 80¢1890%0%-90 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $236527%-$23
$24 to $486525%-$528
$48 to $946537%+$1.9K
$94 to $2.8K6517%-$1.6K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays15513%-$604
Bitcoin6861%+$396
NFL1111%-$516
Baseball10100%+$441
US politics1040%-$8
NBA367%+$119
Side taken
Yes 74%26% No
If you had copied gear.pond
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$1454
Profit
on $7800 staked
15-63
Record
19% win rate
+19%
Return
+$1.6K-$711
Aug 3Oct 19
-$2.4K
Max drawdown
167% below peak
0.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.23×
Profit factor
$7.8K won vs $6.3K lost
-2.5 pts
Edge vs implied
19% won at 22¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 16
- Deepest drawdown
- 42 trades
By category
sports19 settled+114%
other59 settled-12%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Cincinnati,yes Green Bay,yes New England wins by over 2.5 points,yes Kansas City wins by over 2.5 points
Oct 19
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S20263LBELJRWNVGNYYVT-CDXB26MR7
Oct 19
yes Chicago wins by over 2.5 points,yes Dallas wins by over 2.5 points,yes Houston wins by over 2.5 points,yes New Orleans wins by over 2.5 points
Oct 16
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.4Kyes Chicago wins by over 2.5 points,yes Green Bay wins by over 2.5 points,yes Houston wins by over 2.5 points,yes New Orleans wins by over 2.5 points$94 on Yes at 4¢, Oct 16
- 2+$957yes Michael Penix Jr.: 200+,yes Christian Watson: 4+,yes Drake London: 60+,yes ATL Falcons wins by over 2.5 points$96 on Yes at 9¢, Sep 24
- 3+$522yes Los Angeles D,yes San Diego,yes Arizona$94 on Yes at 15¢, May 23
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S20263LBELJRWNVGNYYVT-CDXB26MR71+$0
yes Chicago wins by over 2.5 points,yes Green Bay wins by over 2.5 points,yes Houston wins by over 2.5 points,yes New Orleans wins by over 2.5 points4¢2100%+$2.4K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026F8E2C5BD66C-45F1589CA5D1+$0
Bitcoin price on Feb 25, 2026?46¢4164%+$290
Bitcoin price on Feb 24, 2026?44¢1740%+$29
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 22Oct 19
Profit by month
Feb 2026+$327
Apr 2026-$478
May 2026-$927
Aug 2026+$457
Sep 2026-$967
Oct 2026+$1.4K
Kalshi leaderboards
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