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Stats as of
ghost.beard
-$122
- Tracked Trades
- 579
- First Seen
- Jan 11, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 17, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 23% won · 260 settled · +$1.8K
ghost.beard is a Kalshi trader with 579 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 183 wins and 350 losses on settled markets, -$122 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20266DISOG3JYZ7FVPBC-MTB6ZRWL2 on Oct 17.
- Win rate
- 34%
- Return on settled
- -1%
- Money traded
- $40.4K
- Typical trade
- $26
- Avg entry
- 12¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,917
Profit over time
+$1.7K-$992
Jan 11Oct 17
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1698%8%+0 pts
20 to 40¢12130%21%-9 pts
40 to 60¢17052%48%-5 pts
60 to 80¢6868%74%+6 pts
Over 80¢5192%100%+8 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1414532%-$105
$15 to $2614531%-$848
$26 to $5114536%+$300
$52 to $5.9K14439%+$531
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays28623%+$1.8K
Baseball7447%-$131
College football2662%-$470
NFL2529%-$559
Soccer3056%-$293
College basketball3370%+$139
Side taken
Yes 88%12% No
If you had copied ghost.beard
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$1406
Profit
on $28700 staked
89-198
Record
31% win rate
-5%
Return
+$0-$4.2K
Jul 20Oct 12
-$4.8K
Max drawdown
1443% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.93×
Profit factor
$18.4K won vs $19.8K lost
-2.6 pts
Edge vs implied
31% won at 34¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 20
- Deepest drawdown
- 259 trades
By category
sports287 settled-5%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20266DISOG3JYZ7FVPBC-MTB6ZRWL2
Oct 17
yes Temple,yes Texas,yes James Madison,yes LSU,yes Northwestern,yes SMU,yes Western Michigan,yes Army,yes Ohio St.,yes South Dakota St.,no Pittsburgh wins by over 23.5 points
Oct 17
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026P5H7PVFEI23YJ7HG-LKF2AE6UK
Oct 17
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.7Kyes James Madison,yes Buffalo,yes LSU,yes Northwestern,yes SMU,yes Western Michigan,yes Army,yes Ohio St.,no Texas wins by over 27.5 points,no Virginia Tech wins by over 23.5 points$84 on Yes at 5¢, Oct 16
- 2+$1.2Kyes Arizona,yes Alabama,yes LSU wins by over 7.5 points,yes Alabama over 27.5 points scored,yes LSU over 23.5 points scored$356 on Yes at 23¢, Sep 26
- 3+$556yes San Francisco,yes Buffalo,yes Detroit,yes KC Chiefs wins by over 5.5 points,no MIN Vikings wins by over 7.5 points,no SEA Seahawks wins by over 20.5 points,yes Over 31.5 points$94 on Yes at 14¢, Sep 27
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Alabama,yes Indiana,yes North Dakota,yes Notre Dame,yes Ohio St.,yes UAB,yes Kentucky,yes Georgia,yes North Dakota St.,yes Florida wins by over 2.5 points,yes North Texas over 20.5 points,yes Virginia Tech over 23.5 points,yes Northwestern over 13.5 points,yes Alabama over 23.5 points,yes Tennessee over 20.5 points,yes SMU over 23.5 points,yes Cincinnati over 13.5 points,yes Florida over 23.5 points,yes Louisville over 23.5 points,yes James Madison over 23.5 points,yes Wisconsin over 16.5 points,yes Texas Tech over 20.5 points2¢20%-$145
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026490C356C33D-204FA7C6A8B1+$0
yes Temple,yes Texas,yes James Madison,yes LSU,yes Northwestern,yes SMU,yes Western Michigan,yes Army,yes Ohio St.,yes South Dakota St.,no Pittsburgh wins by over 23.5 points5¢20%-$94
yes UAB,yes Florida,yes Notre Dame,yes Ohio St.,yes Georgia,yes Virginia Tech over 20.5 points,yes Northwestern over 13.5 points,yes Alabama over 23.5 points,yes Florida over 23.5 points,yes Louisville over 20.5 points,yes Wisconsin over 19.5 points,yes Kansas over 20.5 points,yes Notre Dame over 23.5 points,yes Ohio St. over 23.5 points,yes Toledo over 20.5 points,yes Georgia over 23.5 points,yes Western Michigan over 20.5 points,yes North Dakota St. over 20.5 points11¢20%-$118
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026P5H7PVFEI23YJ7HG-LKF2AE6UK1+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 20Oct 17
Profit by month
Jan 2026-$7
Feb 2026-$58
Mar 2026+$131
Apr 2026-$242
May 2026-$364
Jun 2026-$158
Jul 2026-$233
Aug 2026+$145
Sep 2026+$429
Oct 2026+$234
Kalshi leaderboards
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