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Stats as of
grief.guard
+$53.73
- Tracked Trades
- 270
- First Seen
- Jan 18, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 3, 2026
- Best In NFL
- 63% won · 49 settled · +$1.4K
grief.guard is a Kalshi trader with 270 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 152 wins and 67 losses on settled markets, $53.73 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Full Game: over 52.5 points scored? on Nov 3.
- Win rate
- 69%
- Return on settled
- +0%
- Money traded
- $53.3K
- Typical trade
- $353.04
- Avg entry
- 55¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,229
Profit over time
+$6.9K-$2.1K
Jan 18Nov 3
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢113%0%-13 pts
20 to 40¢433%0%-33 pts
40 to 60¢7052%64%+12 pts
60 to 80¢2267%71%+3 pts
Over 80¢788%100%+12 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$5 to $2412664%+$870.15
$241 to $3402667%+$1.3K
$366 to $5492661%+$1.2K
$552 to $4.3K2657%-$3.3K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
NBA4868%-$2.8K
NFL2959%+$1.4K
College basketball1655%+$1.2K
College football863%+$347.36
Parlays20%-$332.78
WNBA1100%+$280.19
Side taken
Yes 23%77% No
If you had copied grief.guard
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$500.84
Profit
on $2,700.00 staked
16-11
Record
59% win rate
+19%
Return
+$548.98+$0.00
Sep 14Nov 2
-$300.00
Max drawdown
41% below peak
1.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.46×
Profit factor
$1.6K won vs $1.1K lost
+11.2 pts
Edge vs implied
59% won at 48¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 3
- Deepest drawdown
- 3 trades
By category
sports27 settled+19%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Full Game: over 52.5 points scored?
Nov 3
Full Game: over 43.5 points scored?
Nov 3
Full Game: over 46.5 points scored?
Nov 3, 2 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.0KLos Angeles L wins by over 7.5 points$783.62 on No at 44¢, Oct 31
- 2+$857.93Full Game: over 52.5 points scored?$1.3K on No at 60¢, Nov 3
- 3+$792.90Georgia at Texas: Total Points$969.10 on No at 55¢, Jan 24
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Los Angeles L wins by over 10.5 Points?54¢20%-$2.4K
Indiana at Atlanta: Total Points52¢10%-$3.1K
Oklahoma City at Milwaukee: Total Points62¢467%+$165.29
Florida Atlantic at South Florida: Total Points59¢350%+$43.84
North Carolina A&T at Hampton: Total Points53¢30%-$888.81
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 6Nov 3
Profit by month
Jan 2026-$1.8K
Feb 2026-$323.83
Jul 2026+$280.19
Sep 2026+$682.22
Oct 2026+$1.1K
Nov 2026+$53.62
Kalshi leaderboards
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