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Stats as of
grin.wake
+$2.3K
- Tracked Trades
- 426
- First Seen
- Jan 12, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 22, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 22% won · 55 settled · +$2.9K
grin.wake is a Kalshi trader with 426 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 41 wins and 235 losses on settled markets, $2.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 22.
- Win rate
- 15%
- Return on settled
- +54%
- Money traded
- $15.3K
- Typical trade
- $9
- Avg entry
- 8¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,410
Profit over time
+$2.3K-$816
Jan 12Oct 22
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1758%12%+4 pts
20 to 40¢9929%16%-12 pts
40 to 60¢3553%57%+4 pts
60 to 80¢4671%
Over 80¢7195%100%+5 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $310711%+$316
$3 to $910715%+$2.6K
$9 to $2810616%-$35
$28 to $2.0K10620%-$600
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays10015%-$409
Bitcoin7922%+$2.9K
Commodities22012%-$282
NBA640%+$261
Baseball90%-$72
Golf20%-$14
Side taken
Yes 55%45% No
If you had copied grin.wake
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$140905
Profit
on $21500 staked
31-184
Record
14% win rate
+655%
Return
+$140.9K-$4.4K
Jul 27Oct 19
-$7.5K
Max drawdown
1397% below peak
18.8×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
8.66×
Profit factor
$159.3K won vs $18.4K lost
-1.3 pts
Edge vs implied
14% won at 16¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 45
- Deepest drawdown
- 169 trades
By category
crypto55 settled+2674%
sports43 settled-19%
finance117 settled-46%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 22, 3 fills
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 22
WTI Oil price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 22, 12 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$3.1KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$19 on Yes at 1¢, Oct 22
- 2+$651yes Astralis,yes FaZe,yes MOUZ,yes Spirit$205 on Yes at 24¢, Jul 30
- 3+$241yes FURIA,yes Natus Vincere,yes magic,yes paiN,yes Aurora Gaming,yes Spirit$28 on Yes at 11¢, Aug 15
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?6¢7922%+$2.9K
WTI Oil price up in next 15 mins?5¢20110%-$375
yes Astralis,yes FaZe,yes MOUZ,yes Spirit24¢3100%+$651
Gold price up in next 15 mins?21¢1931%+$93
yes Chicago C,yes Orlando,yes Los Angeles L,yes Philadelphia9¢20%-$66
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 25Oct 22
Profit by month
Jan 2026-$175
Feb 2026-$25
Jul 2026-$150
Aug 2026+$16
Sep 2026-$13
Oct 2026+$2.6K
Kalshi leaderboards
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