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Stats as of
gross.marmot2690
-$176.86
- Tracked Trades
- 816
- First Seen
- Oct 8, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 8, 2026
- Best In Soccer
- 18% won · 112 settled · +$2.4K
gross.marmot2690 is a Kalshi trader with 816 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 158 wins and 485 losses on settled markets, -$176.86 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Nov 8.
- Win rate
- 25%
- Return on settled
- -1%
- Money traded
- $51.0K
- Typical trade
- $26.01
- Avg entry
- 8¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,236
Profit over time
+$3.2K-$177.00
Oct 21Nov 8
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3609%9%+1 pts
20 to 40¢23129%31%+1 pts
40 to 60¢9548%52%+4 pts
60 to 80¢4570%75%+5 pts
Over 80¢8594%93%-1 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $520424%-$108.40
$5 to $2620424%+$66.35
$26 to $7720425%-$659.69
$78 to $1.4K20427%+$524.88
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin48932%+$127.22
Soccer13217%+$1.2K
Parlays16413%-$1.5K
NBA1222%+$242.43
College basketball90%-$215.94
XRP20%-$24.57
Side taken
Yes 67%33% No
If you had copied gross.marmot2690
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$5,463.48
Profit
on $50,400.00 staked
127-377
Record
25% win rate
-11%
Return
+$989.71-$5.5K
Oct 19Nov 2
-$9.2K
Max drawdown
269% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.86×
Profit factor
$32.2K won vs $37.7K lost
+0.9 pts
Edge vs implied
25% won at 24¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 16
- Deepest drawdown
- 426 trades
By category
crypto280 settled+3%
sports223 settled-27%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 8
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 8
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 8, 3 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.0KFerencvarosi wins$355.16 on Yes at 15¢, Nov 5
- 2+$1.5KReal Madrid wins$371.58 on Yes at 20¢, Oct 25
- 3+$1.1KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$162.12 on No at 13¢, Oct 28
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?21¢48332%+$204.88
Real Madrid wins22¢6100%+$1.6K
AEK Athens wins7¢70%-$529.62
Ferencvarosi wins15¢4100%+$2.0K
Marseille wins17¢2100%+$922.86
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 11Nov 8
Profit by month
Oct 2026+$1.5K
Nov 2026-$1.6K
Kalshi leaderboards
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