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Stats as of
hair.lie
+$3.2K
- Tracked Trades
- 559
- First Seen
- Mar 29, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 7, 2026
- Best In NBA
- 46% won · 79 settled · +$4.6K
hair.lie is a Kalshi trader with 559 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 158 wins and 221 losses on settled markets, $3.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Texas wins on Nov 7.
- Win rate
- 42%
- Return on settled
- +4%
- Money traded
- $125.5K
- Typical trade
- $200.19
- Avg entry
- 39¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,155
Profit over time
+$4.0K-$3.5K
Mar 29Nov 7
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢9510%18%+8 pts
20 to 40¢16032%35%+3 pts
40 to 60¢23748%47%+0 pts
60 to 80¢4666%44%-22 pts
Over 80¢2191%100%+9 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $12814035%+$1.0K
$129 to $20014036%-$1.8K
$202 to $28314042%+$246.89
$283 to $1.5K13953%+$3.7K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Baseball26745%+$1.1K
NBA11646%+$4.6K
College football7345%+$2.4K
Parlays6826%-$3.1K
NFL1240%-$411.56
Soccer720%-$530.86
Side taken
Yes 95%5% No
If you had copied hair.lie
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$305.66
Profit
on $9,000.00 staked
37-53
Record
41% win rate
+3%
Return
+$305.66-$760.88
Aug 10Nov 2
-$1.3K
Max drawdown
504% below peak
0.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.06×
Profit factor
$5.6K won vs $5.3K lost
+1.0 pts
Edge vs implied
41% won at 40¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 7
- Deepest drawdown
- 18 trades
By category
sports90 settled+3%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Texas wins
Nov 7, 3 fills
Missouri wins
Nov 7, 4 fills
Boston College wins
Nov 7, 4 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.5KGame 2: Philadelphia at Boston Winner?$869.50 on Yes at 37¢, Apr 22
- 2+$1.2KBuffalo wins$231.39 on Yes at 16¢, Nov 4
- 3+$1.0KGame 2: Minnesota at Denver Winner?$473.67 on Yes at 31¢, Apr 21
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Los Angeles C at Portland Winner?45¢725%-$636.90
Philadelphia vs Boston 2026 1st Round series winner?43¢625%-$507.70
Game 2: Philadelphia at Boston Winner?36¢567%+$1.3K
Game 2: Atlanta at New York Winner?51¢467%+$84.92
Game 2: Portland at San Antonio Winner?33¢750%+$520.02
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 10Nov 7
Profit by month
Mar 2026-$508.80
Apr 2026+$3.7K
May 2026-$2.3K
Jun 2026+$22.10
Jul 2026+$228.46
Aug 2026+$797.46
Sep 2026-$1.9K
Oct 2026+$772.63
Nov 2026+$2.3K
Kalshi leaderboards
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