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Stats as of

happy.goldfinch4944

+$10.7K
Tracked Trades
243
First Seen
Jun 21, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 24, 2026
Best In Parlays
32% won · 128 settled · +$13.6K

happy.goldfinch4944 is a Kalshi trader with 243 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 64 wins and 114 losses on settled markets, $10.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Milwaukee wins on Oct 24.

Win rate
36%
Return on settled
+13%
Money traded
$176.9K
Typical trade
$477.75
Avg entry
30¢
Kalshi rank
#720

Profit over time

+$16.8K-$656.00
Jun 21Oct 24

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4014%18%+4 pts
20 to 40¢8630%31%+1 pts
40 to 60¢4849%50%+1 pts
60 to 80¢1969%73%+4 pts
Over 80¢5091%100%+9 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$2 to $4636121%-$128.04
$464 to $4786130%+$5.3K
$478 to $7586148%+$1.4K
$759 to $8.2K6075%+$4.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays17232%+$13.6K
Baseball6647%-$2.4K
Soccer533%-$425.70

Side taken

Yes 73%27% No

If you had copied happy.goldfinch4944

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$2,457.25
Profit
on $15,400.00 staked
57-97
Record
37% win rate
+16%
Return
Profit over time154 settled trades
+$4.0K-$36.24
Aug 3Oct 19
-$1.9K
Max drawdown
46% below peak
1.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.25×
Profit factor
$12.2K won vs $9.7K lost
+2.7 pts
Edge vs implied
37% won at 34¢ avg
Longest losing streak
10
Deepest drawdown
49 trades

By category

other116 settled+27%
sports37 settled-21%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Milwaukee wins
Oct 24
Yes77¢$984.15+$293.97
Will Tampa Bay score over 1.5 runs?
Oct 20, 2 fills
Yes83¢$1.2K+$255.00
Tampa Bay wins
Oct 18
Yes73¢$1.3K+$488.96
See every position across 175 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Los Angeles D wins first 5 innings,yes Chicago C over 1.5 runs scored,yes Kansas City over 2.5 runs scored,yes St. Louis over 4.5 runs scored,yes New York Y over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 11.5 runs scored,yes Over 5.5 runs scored
    $469.21 on Yes at 6¢, Sep 19
    +$6.9K
  2. 2
    yes Detroit,yes Toronto,yes Boston wins by over 1.5 runs
    $463.34 on Yes at 18¢, Sep 12
    +$2.1K
  3. 3
    yes Toronto,yes Los Angeles D,yes Boston over 2.5 runs scored
    $473.07 on Yes at 19¢, Sep 3
    +$2.0K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Boston wins19¢20%-$1.6K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202624008D54155-6E5AA3D78781+$0.00
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-SHARD1-S202623CACEE34E4-955B15C310321¢20%-$758.19
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026013B45A03E6-30F99773A0D22¢20%-$758.53
yes Milwaukee,yes Toronto14¢20%-$462.14

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 27Oct 24

Profit by month

Jun 2026+$997.59
Jul 2026+$750.33
Aug 2026+$706.88
Sep 2026+$12.3K
Oct 2026-$4.0K

Kalshi leaderboards

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