Stats as of
hard.shade
+$879
- Tracked Trades
- 1,001
- First Seen
- Oct 10, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 13, 2026
- Best In NFL
- 98% won · 539 settled · +$669
hard.shade is a Kalshi trader with 1,001 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 814 wins and 18 losses on settled markets, $879 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXNFLPASSCOMP-26OCT12BUFLAR-LARMSTAFFORD9-29 on Oct 13.
- Win rate
- 98%
- Return on settled
- +2%
- Money traded
- $55.1K
- Typical trade
- $12
- Avg entry
- 98¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,513
Profit over time
+$879-$4
Oct 10Oct 13
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢116%0%-6 pts
20 to 40¢627%67%+39 pts
40 to 60¢1452%80%+28 pts
60 to 80¢2770%62%-9 pts
Over 80¢94397%99%+2 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $125196%+$11
$1 to $1225097%+$33
$12 to $5025099%+$135
$50 to $1.1K250100%+$700
Categories
TradesWonProfit
NFL54298%+$669
College football36096%+$147
Baseball62100%+$49
Hockey37100%+$13
Side taken
Yes 45%55% No
If you had copied hard.shade
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$2927
Profit
on $83200 staked
814-18
Record
98% win rate
+4%
Return
159 still open
+$2.9K+$0
Oct 5Oct 12
-$730
Max drawdown
119% below peak
4.0×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.63×
Profit factor
$4.7K won vs $1.8K lost
+2.6 pts
Edge vs implied
98% won at 95¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 7
- Deepest drawdown
- 23 trades
By category
sports832 settled+4%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
49 open positions worth $6.9K
The markets hard.shade is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXNFLPASSCOMP-26OCT12BUFLAR-LARMSTAFFORD9-29
Oct 13
Kyren Williams: 2+ receptions
Oct 13, 7 fills
Puka Nacua: 6+ receptions
Oct 13
Biggest wins
- 1+$154Kyren Williams: 2+ receptions$1.2K on Yes at 89¢, Oct 13
- 2+$73KXNFLPASSCOMP-26OCT12BUFLAR-LARMSTAFFORD9-29$1.1K on Yes at 94¢, Oct 13
- 3+$37Tie in the 1st half$273 on No at 88¢, Oct 11
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Trevor Lawrence: 35+ passing attempts99¢7100%+$24
George Kittle: 2+ receptions99¢8100%+$16
George Kittle: 3+ receptions99¢6100%+$15
Bhayshul Tuten: 18+ rushing attempts99¢3100%+$15
Braelon Allen: 18+ rushing attempts99¢15100%+$17
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 16Oct 13
Profit by month
Oct 2026+$879
Kalshi leaderboards
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