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Stats as of
hardened.peafowl6978
+$813.94
- Tracked Trades
- 135
- First Seen
- Aug 13, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 9, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 7% won · 56 settled · +$998.27
hardened.peafowl6978 is a Kalshi trader with 135 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 21 wins and 82 losses on settled markets, $813.94 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026NDRPDPRI2JW3XJRR-CQPJZPYKY on Nov 9.
- Win rate
- 20%
- Return on settled
- +31%
- Money traded
- $5.3K
- Typical trade
- $14.08
- Avg entry
- 3¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,391
Profit over time
+$814.00-$765.00
Aug 13Nov 8
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢724%8%+3 pts
20 to 40¢1731%21%-10 pts
40 to 60¢2148%53%+5 pts
60 to 80¢1469%63%-6 pts
Over 80¢1197%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $9344%-$152.68
$9 to $143431%+$1.26
$15 to $24344%-$375.63
$24 to $1.1K3356%+$1.3K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin6737%-$199.01
Parlays637%+$998.27
NFL2100%+$50.37
Boxing20%-$34.77
Ethereum10%-$0.92
Side taken
Yes 79%21% No
If you had copied hardened.peafowl6978
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$2,099.21
Profit
on $8,100.00 staked
18-63
Record
22% win rate
+26%
Return
+$2.1K-$2.1K
Aug 10Nov 2
-$3.5K
Max drawdown
418% below peak
0.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.33×
Profit factor
$8.4K won vs $6.3K lost
+4.5 pts
Edge vs implied
22% won at 18¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 28
- Deepest drawdown
- 59 trades
By category
sports54 settled+37%
crypto27 settled+3%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Dallas,yes Boston,yes Philadelphia,yes Seattle,yes Cincinnati,yes Detroit,yes Los Angeles R,yes New York G,yes Kansas City,yes Chicago,yes Joe Burrow: 250+,yes Caleb Williams: 225+
Nov 9, 2 fills
yes Trevor Lawrence: 225+,yes Zay Flowers: 50+,yes Derrick Henry: 60+,yes Jacksonville wins by over 7.5 points
Nov 5
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 4
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.6Kyes Dallas,yes Boston,yes Philadelphia,yes Seattle,yes Cincinnati,yes Detroit,yes Los Angeles R,yes New York G,yes Kansas City,yes Chicago,yes Joe Burrow: 250+,yes Caleb Williams: 225+$33.86 on Yes at 2¢, Nov 8
- 2+$152.27yes Green Bay,no Dak Prescott: 275+,no Jordan Love: 325+,yes George Pickens: 50+$18.82 on Yes at 11¢, Oct 19
- 3+$118.67yes Buffalo,yes Las Vegas$28.38 on Yes at 19¢, Sep 17
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?36¢6737%-$199.01
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026NDRPDPRI2JW3XJRR-CQPJZPYKY1+$0.00
Arizona vs Los Angeles C Pro Football game: Arizona wins?70¢2100%+$50.37
yes Dallas,yes Minnesota,yes Philadelphia48¢10%-$154.42
Parlay: Los Angeles C + Pittsburgh + Baltimore + Chicago + Jacksonville + Dallas + Las Vegas + Detroit + Cincinnati + Philadelphia1+$0.00
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 12Nov 9
Profit by month
Aug 2026-$30.91
Sep 2026+$17.19
Oct 2026-$428.04
Nov 2026+$1.3K
Kalshi leaderboards
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