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Stats as of
hot.brandrealdeal
+$1.7K
- Tracked Trades
- 641
- First Seen
- May 2, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 27, 2026
- Best In College football
- 65% won · 124 settled · +$3.8K
hot.brandrealdeal is a Kalshi trader with 641 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 202 wins and 309 losses on settled markets, $1.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXNFLTEAMTOTAL-26OCT26DALPHI-DAL25 on Oct 27.
- Win rate
- 40%
- Return on settled
- +3%
- Money traded
- $64.7K
- Typical trade
- $95.45
- Avg entry
- 27¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,058
Profit over time
+$2.2K-$2.8K
May 2Oct 27
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1819%7%-2 pts
20 to 40¢17129%29%+0 pts
40 to 60¢24151%62%+11 pts
60 to 80¢3369%40%-29 pts
Over 80¢1594%0%-94 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $4816120%-$382.42
$48 to $9516029%-$1.8K
$95 to $9716059%+$3.0K
$97 to $1.2K16041%+$901.68
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays36325%-$2.7K
College football18165%+$3.8K
NFL8962%+$1.5K
NBA10%-$485.72
WNBA714%-$363.79
Side taken
Yes 80%20% No
If you had copied hot.brandrealdeal
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$1,615.55
Profit
on $31,900.00 staked
150-169
Record
47% win rate
+5%
Return
+$2.1K-$18.25
Sep 14Oct 26
-$1.8K
Max drawdown
68% below peak
0.9×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.10×
Profit factor
$18.5K won vs $16.9K lost
+5.7 pts
Edge vs implied
47% won at 41¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 11
- Deepest drawdown
- 110 trades
By category
sports318 settled+5%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXNFLTEAMTOTAL-26OCT26DALPHI-DAL25
Oct 27
yes Cedric Coward: 15+,yes Jaylen Wells: 15+,yes Ty Jerome: 15+,yes Darius Acuff Jr.: 20+,yes Domantas Sabonis: 15+,yes Zach LaVine: 30+
Oct 26
yes Cedric Coward: 15+,yes Jaylen Wells: 15+,yes Ty Jerome: 15+,yes Darius Acuff Jr.: 20+,yes Domantas Sabonis: 15+,yes Zach LaVine: 30+
Oct 26
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.5Kyes Cade Cunningham: 20+,yes Jalen Duren: 10+,yes Tobias Harris: 20+,yes Desmond Bane: 15+,yes Donovan Mitchell: 15+,yes James Harden: 15+,yes RJ Barrett: 20+,yes Scottie Barnes: 15+$137.94 on Yes at 9¢, May 3
- 2+$625.15yes Cedric Coward: 15+,yes Jaylen Wells: 15+,yes Ty Jerome: 15+,yes Darius Acuff Jr.: 20+,yes Domantas Sabonis: 15+,yes Zach LaVine: 30+$94.24 on Yes at 13¢, Oct 26
- 3+$537.18Full Game: Over 75.5 points scored$581.94 on Yes at 52¢, Oct 24
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202642DOLF3OP2AMFQSC-Y33A3XIGA1+$0.00
Full Game: Over 75.5 points scored52¢367%+$597.36
Over 57.5 points scored51¢550%-$9.76
Over 77.5 points scored44¢533%-$256.75
Parlay: Over 87.5 points + Over 64.5 points1+$0.00
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 30Oct 27
Profit by month
May 2026-$1.6K
Jun 2026-$960.41
Jul 2026-$51.55
Sep 2026+$913.39
Oct 2026+$3.4K
Kalshi leaderboards
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