Stats as of
hypothetical
+$316
- Tracked Trades
- 1,000
- First Seen
- Jul 23, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 28, 2026
- Best In College football
- 100% won · 16 settled · +$1.8K
hypothetical is a Kalshi trader with 1,000 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 92 wins and 269 losses on settled markets, $316 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20262A9A239F4F8-B7E411192CB on Sep 28.
- Win rate
- 25%
- Return on settled
- +3%
- Money traded
- $53.2K
- Typical trade
- $47
- Avg entry
- 4¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,818
Profit over time
+$2.5K-$190
Jul 23Sep 28
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢6497%9%+2 pts
20 to 40¢18130%31%+1 pts
40 to 60¢12848%31%-17 pts
60 to 80¢1966%65%-1 pts
Over 80¢2394%100%+6 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1725026%-$194
$17 to $4725022%-$745
$47 to $6425027%-$250
$64 to $2.4K25028%+$1.5K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays5924%-$1.4K
Baseball11740%-$131
Soccer14416%+$929
Bitcoin330%-$356
Golf1325%-$98
Tennis3429%-$122
Side taken
Yes 94%6% No
If you had copied hypothetical
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$8415
Profit
on $36100 staked
92-269
Record
25% win rate
-23%
Return
615 still open
+$230-$9.0K
Jul 20Sep 28
-$11.3K
Max drawdown
930% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.69×
Profit factor
$18.5K won vs $26.9K lost
-4.1 pts
Edge vs implied
25% won at 30¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 52
- Deepest drawdown
- 185 trades
By category
other360 settled-23%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
563 open positions worth $36.0K
The markets hypothetical is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20262A9A239F4F8-B7E411192CB
Sep 28
yes Kalif Raymond: 15+,yes D'Andre Swift: 60+,yes Kyle Monangai: 40+,yes Hungary,no Romania,yes Sweden,no Turkiye,no Over 3.5 goals scored
Sep 28
yes Hungary,no Romania,yes Sweden,no Turkiye,no Over 3.5 goals scored
Sep 28
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.1KArarat-Armenia vs NK Celje Winner?$192 on Yes at 15¢, Aug 4
- 2+$951Michigan wins$94 on Yes at 9¢, Sep 6
- 3+$782Kansas City vs Los Angeles D Winner?$479 on Yes at 38¢, Aug 12
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Atlanta,yes A's,yes Colorado,yes Philadelphia,yes Seattle4¢2+$0
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20262A9A239F4F8-B7E411192CB1+$0
yes Washington,yes New York Y,yes Pittsburgh,yes Philadelphia,yes Miami,yes Milwaukee4¢2+$0
Will Sam Burns lead at the end of Round 1 in the BMW Championship?95¢3100%+$40
yes Reg Time: Besiktas,yes Reg Time: Pafos39¢1+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 1Sep 28
Profit by month
Jul 2026+$80
Aug 2026+$898
Sep 2026-$662
Kalshi leaderboards
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