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Stats as of

identical.setter5854

+$3.1K
Tracked Trades
903
First Seen
Jun 25, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 13, 2026
Best In Baseball
70% won ยท 199 settled ยท +$603

identical.setter5854 is a Kalshi trader with 903 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 282 wins and 257 losses on settled markets, $3.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Buffalo wins on Oct 13.

Win rate
52%
Return on settled
+16%
Money traded
$29.7K
Typical trade
$8
Avg entry
21ยข
Kalshi rank
#2,128

Profit over time

+$3.1K-$1.1K
Jun 25Oct 13

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20ยข2235%6%+1 pts
20 to 40ยข8829%43%+14 pts
40 to 60ยข16949%62%+12 pts
60 to 80ยข17470%72%+2 pts
Over 80ยข24990%77%-13 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $122642%-$10
$1 to $822652%+$174
$8 to $2722650%-$144
$27 to $1.1K22564%+$3.1K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Baseball33470%+$603
Parlays13114%-$478
MMA13969%+$280
NFL1080%+$2.7K
Bitcoin11358%+$21
Ethereum11241%-$38

Side taken

Yes 59%41% No

If you had copied identical.setter5854

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$4653
Profit
on $45500 staked
277-178
Record
61% win rate
+10%
Return
Profit over time455 settled trades
+$4.7K-$1.4K
Aug 3Oct 12
-$5.9K
Max drawdown
135% below peak
0.8ร—
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.26ร—
Profit factor
$22.5K won vs $17.8K lost
+2.2 pts
Edge vs implied
61% won at 59ยข avg
Longest losing streak
24
Deepest drawdown
274 trades

By category

sports319 settled+18%
crypto133 settled-7%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Buffalo wins
Oct 13
Sold Nosold 8ยข$185Exited
Buffalo wins
Oct 13
Yes9ยข$208+$2.1K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026B10DD691660-1A3F22A478E
Oct 13
Sold Nosold 83ยข$1.1KExited
See every position across 290 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Buffalo wins
    $208 on Yes at 9ยข, Oct 13
    +$2.1K
  2. 2
    Baltimore wins
    $179 on Yes at 20ยข, Oct 12
    +$716
  3. 3
    Cincinnati wins by over 4.5 runs?
    $775 on Yes at 53ยข, Aug 23
    +$685
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
First 5 innings: Over 6.5 runs82ยข8189%+$219
First 5 innings: Over 5.5 runs75ยข37100%+$784
First 5 innings: Over 4.5 runs67ยข2171%+$213
Cincinnati wins by over 4.5 runs?53ยข8100%+$685
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026B10DD691660-1A3F22A478E1+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 16Oct 13

Profit by month

Jun 2026-$267
Jul 2026-$835
Aug 2026+$1.1K
Sep 2026-$386
Oct 2026+$3.5K

Kalshi leaderboards

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