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Stats as of
identical.setter5854
+$3.1K
- Tracked Trades
- 903
- First Seen
- Jun 25, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 13, 2026
- Best In Baseball
- 70% won ยท 199 settled ยท +$603
identical.setter5854 is a Kalshi trader with 903 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 282 wins and 257 losses on settled markets, $3.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Buffalo wins on Oct 13.
- Win rate
- 52%
- Return on settled
- +16%
- Money traded
- $29.7K
- Typical trade
- $8
- Avg entry
- 21ยข
- Kalshi rank
- #2,128
Profit over time
+$3.1K-$1.1K
Jun 25Oct 13
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20ยข2235%6%+1 pts
20 to 40ยข8829%43%+14 pts
40 to 60ยข16949%62%+12 pts
60 to 80ยข17470%72%+2 pts
Over 80ยข24990%77%-13 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $122642%-$10
$1 to $822652%+$174
$8 to $2722650%-$144
$27 to $1.1K22564%+$3.1K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Baseball33470%+$603
Parlays13114%-$478
MMA13969%+$280
NFL1080%+$2.7K
Bitcoin11358%+$21
Ethereum11241%-$38
Side taken
Yes 59%41% No
If you had copied identical.setter5854
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$4653
Profit
on $45500 staked
277-178
Record
61% win rate
+10%
Return
+$4.7K-$1.4K
Aug 3Oct 12
-$5.9K
Max drawdown
135% below peak
0.8ร
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.26ร
Profit factor
$22.5K won vs $17.8K lost
+2.2 pts
Edge vs implied
61% won at 59ยข avg
- Longest losing streak
- 24
- Deepest drawdown
- 274 trades
By category
sports319 settled+18%
crypto133 settled-7%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Buffalo wins
Oct 13
Buffalo wins
Oct 13
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026B10DD691660-1A3F22A478E
Oct 13
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.1KBuffalo wins$208 on Yes at 9ยข, Oct 13
- 2+$716Baltimore wins$179 on Yes at 20ยข, Oct 12
- 3+$685Cincinnati wins by over 4.5 runs?$775 on Yes at 53ยข, Aug 23
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
First 5 innings: Over 6.5 runs82ยข8189%+$219
First 5 innings: Over 5.5 runs75ยข37100%+$784
First 5 innings: Over 4.5 runs67ยข2171%+$213
Cincinnati wins by over 4.5 runs?53ยข8100%+$685
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026B10DD691660-1A3F22A478E1+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 16Oct 13
Profit by month
Jun 2026-$267
Jul 2026-$835
Aug 2026+$1.1K
Sep 2026-$386
Oct 2026+$3.5K
Kalshi leaderboards
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