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Stats as of
ill.gecko3004
+$3.3K
- Tracked Trades
- 118
- First Seen
- Aug 14, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 27, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 14% won · 35 settled · +$3.6K
ill.gecko3004 is a Kalshi trader with 118 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 18 wins and 71 losses on settled markets, $3.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026XNAGU5BV5KMALR3W-7VUTMMRQM on Oct 27.
- Win rate
- 20%
- Return on settled
- +234%
- Money traded
- $7.4K
- Typical trade
- $9.46
- Avg entry
- 3¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,108
Profit over time
+$3.3K-$398.00
Aug 14Oct 26
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢607%9%+3 pts
20 to 40¢2329%30%+1 pts
40 to 60¢1249%29%-20 pts
60 to 80¢1069%43%-26 pts
Over 80¢1390%100%+10 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $5304%-$72.70
$5 to $93015%+$90.14
$10 to $242927%-$80.89
$27 to $2.0K2944%+$3.4K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays4414%+$3.6K
Weather5727%-$237.56
NFL1025%-$23.90
Esports40%-$18.87
MMA10%-$4.56
Commodities10%-$2.84
Side taken
Yes 75%25% No
If you had copied ill.gecko3004
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$1,260.35
Profit
on $7,900.00 staked
16-63
Record
20% win rate
+16%
Return
+$1.3K-$2.2K
Aug 10Oct 26
-$3.6K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
0.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.20×
Profit factor
$7.6K won vs $6.3K lost
-1.1 pts
Edge vs implied
20% won at 21¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 15
- Deepest drawdown
- 59 trades
By category
sports45 settled+64%
culture33 settled-45%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026XNAGU5BV5KMALR3W-7VUTMMRQM
Oct 27
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026RFERX7YJGLOO3F4I-TH4ZEL6MG
Oct 27
yes Hollywood Brown: 20+,yes Makai Lemon: 25+,yes Javonte Williams: 40+,yes CeeDee Lamb: 1+
Oct 26
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.8Kyes Hollywood Brown: 20+,yes Makai Lemon: 25+,yes Javonte Williams: 40+,yes CeeDee Lamb: 1+$187.59 on Yes at 6¢, Oct 26
- 2+$465.21yes New York G,yes Woody Marks: 30+,yes Cam Skattebo: 20+,yes Cam Skattebo: 1+$28.12 on Yes at 6¢, Oct 25
- 3+$420.45yes Noah Gray: 10+,yes Travis Kelce: 25+,yes Cooper Kupp: 15+,yes Emanuel Wilson: 1+$70.73 on Yes at 14¢, Oct 26
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026XNAGU5BV5KMALR3W-7VUTMMRQM1+$0.00
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026RFERX7YJGLOO3F4I-TH4ZEL6MG1+$0.00
yes Kansas City,yes Patrick Mahomes: 1+1¢20%-$9.12
yes Noah Gray: 10+,yes Travis Kelce: 25+,yes Cooper Kupp: 15+,yes Emanuel Wilson: 1+14¢2100%+$420.45
Xavier Worthy: 1+ touchdowns7¢20%-$28.17
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 30Oct 27
Profit by month
Aug 2026-$172.57
Oct 2026+$3.5K
Kalshi leaderboards
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