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Stats as of
inland.swordtail4957
+$4.3K
- Tracked Trades
- 722
- First Seen
- Sep 14, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 4, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 40% won · 92 settled · +$3.9K
inland.swordtail4957 is a Kalshi trader with 722 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 231 wins and 165 losses on settled markets, $4.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Nov 4.
- Win rate
- 58%
- Return on settled
- +8%
- Money traded
- $107.7K
- Typical trade
- $48.54
- Avg entry
- 64¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,546
Profit over time
+$5.6K-$2.6K
Sep 14Nov 4
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢5311%6%-5 pts
20 to 40¢8631%32%+1 pts
40 to 60¢14551%61%+10 pts
60 to 80¢11870%49%-20 pts
Over 80¢9789%95%+5 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $1812535%-$32.31
$18 to $4912553%+$226.95
$49 to $13512562%+$451.97
$137 to $2.5K12466%+$3.7K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Commodities28757%-$1.2K
Bitcoin15444%+$3.9K
Other crypto1991%+$576.45
Ethereum775%+$652.28
Parlays850%+$548.50
Solana50%-$338.54
Side taken
Yes 70%30% No
If you had copied inland.swordtail4957
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$95.93
Profit
on $24,500.00 staked
129-116
Record
53% win rate
+0%
Return
1 still open
+$857.64-$1.3K
Sep 14Nov 2
-$1.8K
Max drawdown
107% below peak
0.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.01×
Profit factor
$11.7K won vs $11.6K lost
+1.2 pts
Edge vs implied
53% won at 51¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 6
- Deepest drawdown
- 68 trades
By category
other5 settled+16%
finance139 settled+9%
sports13 settled-9%
crypto88 settled-12%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 4, 2 fills
XRP price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 3
WTI Oil price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 3
Biggest wins
- 1+$4.1KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$6.3K on Yes at 61¢, Nov 3
- 2+$2.8KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$1.1K on No at 28¢, Nov 2
- 3+$1.3KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$1.3K on No at 50¢, Nov 2
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?57¢14247%+$4.1K
Gold price up in next 15 mins?67¢13858%-$581.45
Silver price up in next 15 mins?76¢3862%-$465.08
WTI Oil price up in next 15 mins?70¢5047%+$216.77
ETH price up in next 15 mins?72¢775%+$652.28
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 7Nov 4
Profit by month
Sep 2026-$501.54
Oct 2026-$1.1K
Nov 2026+$6.0K
Kalshi leaderboards
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