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Stats as of

inner.bullfrog4454

+$2.1K
Tracked Trades
991
First Seen
Sep 15, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 23, 2026
Best In Parlays
25% won · 218 settled · +$2.4K

inner.bullfrog4454 is a Kalshi trader with 991 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 278 wins and 451 losses on settled markets, $2.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Gold price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 23.

Win rate
38%
Return on settled
+7%
Money traded
$53.1K
Typical trade
$9
Avg entry
36¢
Kalshi rank
#2,187

Profit over time

+$2.1K-$1.2K
Sep 15Oct 23

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3169%5%-3 pts
20 to 40¢16531%37%+7 pts
40 to 60¢15748%38%-11 pts
60 to 80¢14170%75%+4 pts
Over 80¢21293%96%+3 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $224832%-$60
$2 to $924829%-$304
$9 to $2424837%+$12
$24 to $5.0K24763%+$2.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays27324%+$1.9K
Commodities25236%-$92
Tennis12852%+$135
College football5735%+$299
NFL4648%-$253
Bitcoin6628%+$95

Side taken

Yes 66%34% No

If you had copied inner.bullfrog4454

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$13658
Profit
on $72900 staked
278-451
Record
38% win rate
-19%
Return
4 still open
Profit over time729 settled trades
+$0-$13.7K
Sep 14Oct 19
-$14.8K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.70×
Profit factor
$31.4K won vs $45.1K lost
-0.6 pts
Edge vs implied
38% won at 39¢ avg
Longest losing streak
20
Deepest drawdown
614 trades

By category

sports504 settled-11%
finance159 settled-24%
crypto61 settled-65%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $138

The markets inner.bullfrog4454 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what inner.bullfrog4454 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Gold price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 23, 3 fills
Yes81¢$868+$209
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026WOGFCYIIVSIXJLQD-GGD4UV5G2
Oct 23
Yes84¢$766+$151
Gold price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 23, 6 fills
Sold Nosold 6¢$109Exited
See every position across 462 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    no Target Price: $81,163.05,yes Target Price: $4,037.97,no Target Price: $54.828
    $484 on Yes at 51¢, Oct 22
    +$457
  2. 2
    Gold price up in next 15 mins?
    $107 on No at 20¢, Oct 20
    +$428
  3. 3
    New Mexico St. wins
    $589 on Yes at 60¢, Oct 21
    +$393
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Gold price up in next 15 mins?56¢24036%-$57
yes Iowa,yes BYU,yes Arizona,yes Boise St.,yes Presbyterian,yes Harvard,yes Arizona St.,yes Indiana,yes Lamar,yes Jackson St.,yes Western Michigan,yes Utah,yes Minnesota,yes Ole Miss,yes Texas Southern,yes North Dakota St.,yes Florida,yes Oregon St.,yes Stony Brook,yes Tennessee,yes Texas,yes Missouri,yes Oregon,yes Pittsburgh,yes North Dakota,yes Virginia Tech0¢20%-$5
yes Boise St.,yes Toledo,yes Duke,yes Eastern Michigan,yes Harvard,yes Arizona St.,yes Lamar,yes Jackson St.,yes Western Michigan,yes LSU,yes Minnesota,yes Ole Miss,yes Texas Southern,yes North Dakota St.,yes Nevada,yes Richmond,yes Oregon St.,yes South Dakota,yes Stony Brook,yes Virginia,yes Tennessee,yes Texas,yes Missouri,yes Oregon,yes North Carolina,yes North Dakota,yes Portland St.,yes Virginia Tech0¢20%-$4
BTC price up in next 15 mins?48¢6528%+$99
yes Pittsburgh,yes New Mexico,yes Oregon St.,yes Los Angeles R,yes Kansas City,yes New England,yes Indianapolis,yes San Francisco16¢20%-$170

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 26Oct 23

Profit by month

Sep 2026-$302
Oct 2026+$2.4K

Kalshi leaderboards

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