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Stats as of

instant.giraffe6408

+$1.6K
Tracked Trades
822
First Seen
Oct 4, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 7, 2026
Best In Bitcoin
41% won · 117 settled · +$1.6K

instant.giraffe6408 is a Kalshi trader with 822 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 203 wins and 439 losses on settled markets, $1.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Nov 7.

Win rate
32%
Return on settled
+11%
Money traded
$27.7K
Typical trade
$4.92
Avg entry
22¢
Kalshi rank
#2,597

Profit over time

+$1.6K-$709.00
Oct 4Nov 7

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2278%6%-2 pts
20 to 40¢20130%27%-3 pts
40 to 60¢25249%53%+5 pts
60 to 80¢9069%62%-6 pts
Over 80¢5291%100%+9 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $320614%-$120.59
$3 to $520629%+$5.58
$5 to $1920538%-$22.31
$19 to $1.1K20553%+$1.8K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin17641%+$1.6K
Parlays38626%-$50.04
Commodities15039%+$128.77
Tennis1723%+$56.74
Soccer2322%-$42.41
Baseball867%+$28.14

Side taken

Yes 78%22% No

If you had copied instant.giraffe6408

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$8,663.85
Profit
on $53,300.00 staked
167-366
Record
31% win rate
-16%
Return
Profit over time533 settled trades
+$0.00-$8.8K
Sep 28Nov 2
-$11.3K
Max drawdown
631% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.76×
Profit factor
$27.9K won vs $36.6K lost
-1.1 pts
Edge vs implied
31% won at 32¢ avg
Longest losing streak
19
Deepest drawdown
457 trades

By category

crypto77 settled+3%
finance70 settled-15%
sports371 settled-19%
culture15 settled-60%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 7
Sold Nosold 45¢$538.24Exited
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 7, 2 fills
Yes50¢sold 56¢$525.60+$525.60
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 7
Yes38¢$875.22-$875.22
See every position across 519 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $953.54 on No at 42¢, Nov 7
    +$1.3K
  2. 2
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $520.71 on No at 33¢, Nov 7
    +$1.1K
  3. 3
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $710.50 on No at 49¢, Nov 7
    +$739.50
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?40¢15844%+$1.6K
Gold price up in next 15 mins?30¢5341%+$123.42
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026FR7K2K46MKGFLXIG-OXBIIXX5N9¢20%-$469.87
WTI Oil price up in next 15 mins?48¢2160%+$152.06
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026ZC5QXKHVH33PZPHY-JIU3ZPMCL69¢2100%+$63.15

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 10Nov 7

Profit by month

Oct 2026-$508.69
Nov 2026+$2.1K

Kalshi leaderboards

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