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Stats as of
isaacafable
+$790
- Tracked Trades
- 994
- First Seen
- Sep 18, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 21, 2026
- Best In Commodities
- 23% won · 269 settled · +$1.7K
isaacafable is a Kalshi trader with 994 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 123 wins and 559 losses on settled markets, $790 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 21.
- Win rate
- 18%
- Return on settled
- +11%
- Money traded
- $24.2K
- Typical trade
- $4
- Avg entry
- 14¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,627
Profit over time
+$927-$961
Sep 18Oct 21
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4486%4%-3 pts
20 to 40¢19229%29%+0 pts
40 to 60¢15548%52%+4 pts
60 to 80¢9569%81%+13 pts
Over 80¢10492%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $12498%-$16
$1 to $424912%-$179
$4 to $1424824%-$197
$14 to $1.4K24841%+$1.2K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Commodities40723%+$1.7K
Bitcoin36615%-$324
Tennis513%-$595
College football3524%+$60
NFL6228%-$81
Ethereum270%-$6
Side taken
Yes 52%48% No
If you had copied isaacafable
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$27650
Profit
on $68200 staked
123-559
Record
18% win rate
-41%
Return
2 still open
+$0-$27.7K
Sep 14Oct 19
-$30.2K
Max drawdown
16805% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.51×
Profit factor
$28.2K won vs $55.9K lost
-0.5 pts
Edge vs implied
18% won at 19¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 41
- Deepest drawdown
- 542 trades
By category
finance269 settled-13%
sports84 settled-38%
crypto311 settled-61%
culture18 settled-100%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 21, 25 fills
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 21, 9 fills
Gold price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 21
Biggest wins
- 1+$967Gold price up in next 15 mins?$111 on Yes at 10¢, Oct 21
- 2+$609Gold price up in next 15 mins?$239 on Yes at 28¢, Oct 21
- 3+$559Gold price up in next 15 mins?$226 on Yes at 29¢, Oct 1
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Gold price up in next 15 mins?18¢39025%+$1.7K
BTC price up in next 15 mins?8¢36615%-$324
Han Shi wins27¢240%-$508
Rutgers wins6¢50%-$25
ETH price up in next 15 mins?2¢270%-$6
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 24Oct 21
Profit by month
Sep 2026-$351
Oct 2026+$1.1K
Kalshi leaderboards
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