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Stats as of
Jadefly
jadefly
+$2.0K
- Tracked Trades
- 890
- First Seen
- Oct 16, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 25, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 5% won · 199 settled · +$1.9K
Jadefly is a Kalshi trader with 890 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 187 wins and 501 losses on settled markets, $2.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Derrick Henry: 1+,yes Ja'Marr Chase: 1+,yes Christian Watson: 1+,yes Jonathan Taylor: 1+,yes Justin Jefferson: 1+,yes Kenneth Walker III: 1+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 1+,yes Ashton Jeanty: 1+,yes Brock Bowers: 1+,yes Nico Collins: 1+,yes Chris Olave: 1+,yes Bijan Robinson: 1+,yes Christian McCaffrey: 1+,yes George Kittle: 1+,yes Chuba Hubbard: 1+,yes Bucky Irving: 1+ on Oct 25.
- Win rate
- 27%
- Return on settled
- +24%
- Money traded
- $18.9K
- Typical trade
- $6
- Avg entry
- 1¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,835
Profit over time
+$3.2K-$428
Oct 16Oct 25
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3834%5%+1 pts
20 to 40¢18128%31%+3 pts
40 to 60¢14048%41%-7 pts
60 to 80¢12968%84%+17 pts
Over 80¢5790%89%-1 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $122330%+$82
$1 to $622321%+$2.0K
$6 to $1922219%-$467
$19 to $2.0K22244%+$342
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin52032%+$736
Parlays2105%+$1.9K
Tennis11167%-$117
MMA10%-$290
World politics2+$0
NFL917%-$82
Side taken
Yes 64%36% No
If you had copied Jadefly
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$49766
Profit
on $28500 staked
56-229
Record
20% win rate
+175%
Return
3 still open
+$49.8K-$398
Oct 12Oct 19
-$5.2K
Max drawdown
45% below peak
9.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
3.17×
Profit factor
$72.7K won vs $22.9K lost
+2.2 pts
Edge vs implied
20% won at 17¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 35
- Deepest drawdown
- 75 trades
By category
sports183 settled+192%
crypto102 settled+144%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
3 open positions worth $19
The markets Jadefly is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Derrick Henry: 1+,yes Ja'Marr Chase: 1+,yes Christian Watson: 1+,yes Jonathan Taylor: 1+,yes Justin Jefferson: 1+,yes Kenneth Walker III: 1+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 1+,yes Ashton Jeanty: 1+,yes Brock Bowers: 1+,yes Nico Collins: 1+,yes Chris Olave: 1+,yes Bijan Robinson: 1+,yes Christian McCaffrey: 1+,yes George Kittle: 1+,yes Chuba Hubbard: 1+,yes Bucky Irving: 1+
Oct 25, 2 fills
yes Baltimore,yes Cleveland,yes Denver,yes Green Bay,yes Minnesota,yes Kansas City,yes Las Vegas,yes New York J,yes New York G,yes New Orleans,yes San Francisco,yes Carolina
Oct 25
no Elijah Sarratt: 1+,no Josh Cuevas: 1+,no Matt Hibner: 1+,no Nick Vannett: 1+,no Dohnte Meyers: 1+,no Drew Sample: 1+,no Erick All Jr.: 1+,no Jack Endries: 1+,no Mitchell Tinsley: 1+,no Isaiah Bond: 1+,no Jerry Jeudy: 1+,no KC Concepcion Jr.: 1+,no Malachi Corley: 1+,no Calvin Ridley: 1+,no Gunnar Helm: 1+,no Nicholas Singleton: 1+,no Tyjae Spears: 1+,no Teagan Quitoriano: 1+,no Adam Trautman: 1+,no Evan Engram: 1+,no Nate Adkins: 1+,no Isaac TeSlaa: 1+,no Bo Melton: 1+,no Jonnu Smith: 1+,no MarShawn Lloyd: 1+,no Deion Burks: 1+,no Drew Ogletree: 1+,no Keenan Allen: 1+,no Laquon Treadwell: 1+,no Mo Alie-Cox: 1+,no Seth McGowan: 1+,no Will Mallory: 1+,no Ben Yurosek: 1+,no Demond Claiborne: 1+,no DeeJay Dallas: 1+,no Gavin Bartholomew: 1+,no Kyler Murray: 1+,no Myles Price: 1+,no Tai Felton: 1+,no T.J. Hockenson: 1+,no Davis Allen: 1+,no Jordan Whittington: 1+,no Tyler Higbee: 1+,no Cody White: 1+,no Dylan Laube: 1+,no Michael Mayer: 1+,no Greg Dulcich: 1+,no Mason Taylor: 1+,no Tim Patrick: 1+,no Cade Stover: 1+,no Dare Ogunbowale: 1+,no Dalton Schultz: 1+,no Kayshon Boutte: 1+,no Xavier Hutchinson: 1+,no Charlie Jones: 1+,no CJ Donaldson: 1+,no Oscar Delp: 1+,no Kaden Wetjen: 1+,no Rico Dowdle: 1+,no Robert Tonyan: 1+,no AJ Dillon: 1+,no Darren Waller: 1+,no Jalen Coker: 1+,no John Metchie III: 1+,no Ja'Tavion Sanders: 1+,no Tommy Tremble: 1+,no Kenny Gainwell: 1+,no Kameron Johnson: 1+,no Tez Johnson: 1+
Oct 25
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.1Kyes Atlanta wins by over 2.5 points,no Milwaukee wins by over 1.5 points,no Indiana wins by over 6.5 points,no San Antonio wins by over 5.5 points,no Los Angeles L wins by over 9.5 points,no Golden State wins by over 3.5 points,yes Minnesota wins by over 1.5 points,no Utah wins by over 3.5 points,yes Portland wins by over 7.5 points,yes Toronto wins by over 5.5 points$5 on Yes at 0¢, Oct 23
- 2+$1.5Kyes San Antonio wins by over 5.5 points,yes Utah wins by over 2.5 points,yes Indiana wins by over 2.5 points,yes Arizona wins by over 5.5 points,yes LSU wins by over 5.5 points,yes Texas wins by over 2.5 points,yes Miami (FL) wins by over 5.5 points,yes South Carolina wins by over 2.5 points,no South Dakota wins by over 11.5 points,no USC wins by over 7.5 points,yes Over 37.5 points$46 on Yes at 3¢, Oct 24
- 3+$316BTC price up in next 15 mins?$4 on Yes at 1¢, Oct 21
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?6¢51932%+$736
yes Green Bay,yes San Francisco,yes Chicago,yes Baltimore,yes Cleveland,yes Denver,yes Minnesota,yes Las Vegas,yes New York J,yes Houston,yes Pittsburgh,yes San Francisco,yes Carolina0¢20%-$9
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026GFHGPKIIFZMQXSVR-G7HJWPG4E1+$0
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202637BRYNK54XT3E2BI-DGVAZBALR1+$0
yes Movsar Evloev,yes Merab Dvalishvili18¢50%-$282
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 28Oct 25
Profit by month
Oct 2026+$2.0K
Kalshi leaderboards
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