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Stats as of

Jefes2k

jefes2k

+$4.3K
Tracked Trades
465
First Seen
Jun 25, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 9, 2026
Best In Bitcoin
93% won · 191 settled · +$4.4K

This trader is a closer

88% of this trader's buys are at 95¢ or higher, on outcomes that are nearly decided. The win rate is high because the odds are short: copying them risks 95¢ or more to make 5¢ or less. If you want better odds, skip their 95¢+ buys or pick someone else.

Jefes2k is a Kalshi trader with 465 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 201 wins and 146 losses on settled markets, $4.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Nov 9.

Win rate
58%
Return on settled
+1%
Money traded
$523.3K
Typical trade
$350.35
Avg entry
75¢
Kalshi rank
#1,898

Profit over time

+$4.3K-$1.6K
Jun 25Nov 9

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1296%5%+0 pts
20 to 40¢2630%20%-10 pts
40 to 60¢3450%45%-5 pts
60 to 80¢2470%67%-3 pts
Over 80¢25296%98%+1 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $911716%+$87.19
$10 to $35011634%-$401.50
$357 to $2.1K11696%+$626.94
$2.2K to $5.2K11699%+$4.0K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin25993%+$4.9K
Commodities6646%-$150.92
Parlays1036%-$550.48
US elections8100%+$46.36
NBA1100%+$43.28
Soccer2129%-$41.41

Side taken

Yes 67%33% No

If you had copied Jefes2k

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$8,157.79
Profit
on $28,900.00 staked
187-102
Record
65% win rate
-28%
Return
2 still open
Profit over time289 settled trades
+$0.00-$8.2K
Sep 7Nov 9
-$8.2K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.20×
Profit factor
$2.0K won vs $10.2K lost
-1.6 pts
Edge vs implied
65% won at 66¢ avg
Longest losing streak
29
Deepest drawdown
289 trades

By category

crypto168 settled-1%
finance43 settled-35%
sports75 settled-87%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 9, 16 fills
No99¢sold 100¢$1.1K+$6.47
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 9, 2 fills
No98¢$1.1K+$18.24
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 9, 16 fills
No67¢sold 29¢$2.5K+$1.2K
See every position across 307 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $2.5K on No at 67¢, Nov 9
    +$1.2K
  2. 2
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $5.5K on Yes at 88¢, Nov 9
    +$750.98
  3. 3
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $4.0K on No at 87¢, Nov 9
    +$597.64
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?96¢25993%+$4.9K
Gold price up in next 15 mins?87¢6646%-$150.92
Philadelphia wins94¢1100%+$43.28
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Mississippi?81¢4+$0.00
Will the Democratic party win the Lieutenant Governor race in Texas?77¢2100%+$46.36

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 12Nov 9

Profit by month

Jun 2026+$351.83
Jul 2026+$212.31
Aug 2026-$0.68
Sep 2026-$233.79
Oct 2026-$637.71
Nov 2026+$4.6K

Kalshi leaderboards

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