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Stats as of

joao.alvarez

-$67
Tracked Trades
92
First Seen
Feb 19, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 22, 2026

joao.alvarez is a Kalshi trader with 92 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 18 wins and 12 losses on settled markets, -$67 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? on Oct 22.

Win rate
60%
Return on settled
-25%
Money traded
$6.6K
Typical trade
$8
Avg entry
62¢
Kalshi rank
#4,846

Profit over time

+$22-$72
Feb 20Jun 22

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢128%0%-8 pts
20 to 40¢2630%
40 to 60¢2349%60%+11 pts
60 to 80¢1567%67%-1 pts
Over 80¢1687%100%+13 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $12367%+$1
$1 to $72333%-$3
$9 to $182340%-$38
$24 to $3.0K2375%-$27

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics30+$0
Tech and AI17+$0
Chess10+$0
Bitcoin2100%+$12
Entertainment50%-$94
US politics2100%+$10

Side taken

Yes 65%35% No

If you had copied joao.alvarez

$100 per trade, last 90 days

Not enough settled trades to score yet

No trade from the last 90 days has resolved yet. 2 still open.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $3.5K

The markets joao.alvarez is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what joao.alvarez is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
New Zealand vs Egypt Winner?
Jun 22
Yes50¢$1-$1
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Jun 22, 13 fills
Yes36¢sold 30¢$77Exited
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Jun 22, 2 fills
Sold Yessold 13¢$197Exited
See every position across 32 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Bitcoin be above $100000 by May 1, 2026 at 12:00AM ET?
    $99 on No at 89¢, Feb 20
    +$12
  2. 2
    Will Trump release any documents about Epstein's associates before Mar 1, 2026?
    $49 on No at 83¢, Feb 20
    +$10
  3. 3
    Will any tech company announce One-time layoff greater than 4,000 employees before July?
    $13 on Yes at 67¢, Mar 1
    +$6
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?78¢14+$0
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?82¢4+$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?46¢16+$0
Will Wei Yi win the World Chess Championship?5¢3+$0
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?22¢8+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 25Oct 22

Profit by month

Feb 2026-$72
Mar 2026+$6
Apr 2026-$0
Jun 2026-$1

Kalshi leaderboards

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