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Stats as of
kaisenwakah
+$80
- Tracked Trades
- 381
- First Seen
- Feb 21, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 18, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 81% won · 308 settled · +$158
kaisenwakah is a Kalshi trader with 381 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 249 wins and 67 losses on settled markets, $80 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 18.
- Win rate
- 79%
- Return on settled
- +0%
- Money traded
- $20.2K
- Typical trade
- $18
- Avg entry
- 70¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,476
Profit over time
+$1.0K-$203
Feb 21Oct 18
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢227%0%-7 pts
20 to 40¢2431%57%+26 pts
40 to 60¢4653%56%+4 pts
60 to 80¢12871%75%+5 pts
Over 80¢16190%97%+7 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $49676%-$12
$4 to $189576%+$111
$18 to $569578%+$223
$56 to $1.4K9585%-$242
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin37181%+$158
Ethereum20%-$39
Commodities40%-$14
NFL10%-$15
Parlays10%-$9
Weather10%-$1
Side taken
Yes 51%49% No
If you had copied kaisenwakah
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$822
Profit
on $29000 staked
233-57
Record
80% win rate
+3%
Return
-$1.4K
Max drawdown
101% below peak
0.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.14×
Profit factor
$6.5K won vs $5.7K lost
+4.6 pts
Edge vs implied
80% won at 76¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 10
- Deepest drawdown
- 34 trades
By category
crypto285 settled+5%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 18, 3 fills
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 18
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 18, 3 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$306BTC price up in next 15 mins?$1.1K on No at 78¢, Oct 18
- 2+$264BTC price up in next 15 mins?$1.4K on Yes at 84¢, Oct 18
- 3+$201BTC price up in next 15 mins?$806 on Yes at 80¢, Oct 18
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?73¢37081%+$143
Gold price up in next 15 mins?30¢40%-$14
Ethereum price at Feb 21, 2026 at 5pm EST?19¢10%-$23
ETH price up in next 15 mins?53¢10%-$16
Seattle wins57¢10%-$15
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 21Oct 18
Profit by month
Feb 2026+$44
Oct 2026+$36
Kalshi leaderboards
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