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Stats as of

key.rule

+$1.4K
Tracked Trades
183
First Seen
Oct 22, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 31, 2026
Best In Tennis
38% won · 26 settled · +$1.5K

key.rule is a Kalshi trader with 183 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 36 wins and 103 losses on settled markets, $1.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: no Texas Tech wins by over 3.5 points,no BYU wins by over 16.5 points,no Ole Miss wins by over 13.5 points,yes Georgia wins by over 11.5 points,no Indiana wins by over 20.5 points,no Notre Dame wins by over 30.5 points,no Oregon wins by over 3.5 points,no SMU wins by over 10.5 points,no Wake Forest wins by over 13.5 points,no Iowa wins by over 3.5 points on Oct 31.

Win rate
26%
Return on settled
+41%
Money traded
$10.4K
Typical trade
$14.19
Avg entry
4¢
Kalshi rank
#3,283

Profit over time

+$1.8K-$350.00
Oct 22Oct 31

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢824%5%+1 pts
20 to 40¢3129%24%-5 pts
40 to 60¢2452%61%+10 pts
60 to 80¢2571%86%+15 pts
Over 80¢2191%100%+9 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $4467%-$39.42
$4 to $144617%-$201.26
$14 to $484638%+$1.14
$48 to $1.4K4562%+$1.7K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Tennis4038%+$1.5K
Parlays570%-$353.44
NBA2676%+$462.24
MMA2750%+$44.90
Bitcoin90%-$263.03
Basketball467%+$71.10

Side taken

Yes 73%27% No

If you had copied key.rule

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$3,821.43
Profit
on $4,200.00 staked
2-40
Record
5% win rate
-91%
Return
Profit over time42 settled trades
+$78.57-$3.8K
Oct 19Oct 26
-$3.9K
Max drawdown
4964% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.04×
Profit factor
$178.57 won vs $4.0K lost
+1.3 pts
Edge vs implied
5% won at 3¢ avg
Longest losing streak
39
Deepest drawdown
41 trades

By category

sports42 settled-91%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
no Texas Tech wins by over 3.5 points,no BYU wins by over 16.5 points,no Ole Miss wins by over 13.5 points,yes Georgia wins by over 11.5 points,no Indiana wins by over 20.5 points,no Notre Dame wins by over 30.5 points,no Oregon wins by over 3.5 points,no SMU wins by over 10.5 points,no Wake Forest wins by over 13.5 points,no Iowa wins by over 3.5 points
Oct 31, 2 fills
Yes0¢$1.87-$1.87
yes Canelo Alvarez,yes Jaime Munguia,yes Piera Rodriguez,yes Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani,yes Zach Reese,yes Lucia Szabova,yes KO/TKO/DQ,yes KO/TKO/DQ,yes KO/TKO/DQ,yes Jung-Young Lee by KO/TKO/DQ,yes Dakota Hope by KO/TKO/DQ
Oct 31
Yes0¢$1.83-$1.83
yes KO/TKO/DQ,yes Decision,yes KO/TKO/DQ,yes Submission,yes Submission,yes KO/TKO/DQ,yes Decision,yes KO/TKO/DQ,yes KO/TKO/DQ
Oct 31
Yes0¢$2.84-$2.84
See every position across 111 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Pablo Carreno Busta win the Carreno Busta vs Nardi : Qualification Final match?
    $629.79 on Yes at 24¢, Feb 22
    +$2.0K
  2. 2
    Denver at Golden State Winner?
    $139.07 on Yes at 27¢, Feb 22
    +$376.93
  3. 3
    New Zealand Breakers vs Adelaide 36ers Winner?
    $159.66 on Yes at 57¢, Feb 22
    +$119.34
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Pablo Carreno Busta win the Carreno Busta vs Nardi : Qualification Final match?26¢880%+$1.9K
yes UCF,yes Harvard,yes SMU,yes Piera Rodriguez,yes Jung-Young Lee,yes Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani,yes Dakota Hope,yes Ode Osbourne,yes Luana Santos,yes Rodrigo Sezinando,yes Lucia Szabova1¢20%-$7.89
yes Darius Acuff Jr.: 2+,yes Domantas Sabonis: 6+,yes Evan Mobley: 10+,yes Chuba Hubbard: 60+,yes Josh Jacobs: 60+,yes Chuba Hubbard: 1+,yes Josh Jacobs: 1+2¢20%-$18.67
Will Luca Potenza win the Dietrich vs Potenza : Qualification Round 1 match?18¢30%-$189.02
Will Oliver Crawford win the Sakellaridis vs Crawford : Final match?17¢50%-$105.77

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 3Oct 31

Profit by month

Oct 2025-$26.54
Jan 2026+$23.97
Feb 2026+$1.7K
Mar 2026-$5.10
May 2026-$27.34
Jun 2026-$92.88
Jul 2026-$47.51
Oct 2026-$54.21

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