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Stats as of
kmarie400
+$858
- Tracked Trades
- 850
- First Seen
- Jan 16, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 2, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 7% won · 710 settled · +$763
kmarie400 is a Kalshi trader with 850 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 55 wins and 676 losses on settled markets, $858 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202648D79BAE9D5-FB77061FE3C on Oct 2.
- Win rate
- 8%
- Return on settled
- +6%
- Money traded
- $45.2K
- Typical trade
- $19
- Avg entry
- 3¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,779
Profit over time
+$1.3K-$1.6K
Jan 16Sep 30
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢6875%4%-1 pts
20 to 40¢5227%38%+11 pts
40 to 60¢2349%59%+10 pts
60 to 80¢1469%100%+31 pts
Over 80¢7491%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $92131%-$1.3K
$9 to $192133%-$1.4K
$19 to $2621211%+$1.9K
$28 to $1.5K21222%+$1.7K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays8197%+$763
Baseball1355%+$125
NBA667%+$69
Golf60%-$12
NFL40%-$62
College football20%-$24
Side taken
Yes 86%14% No
If you had copied kmarie400
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$4824
Profit
on $27400 staked
10-264
Record
4% win rate
-18%
Return
+$0-$5.1K
Jul 27Sep 28
-$13.4K
Max drawdown
366% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.82×
Profit factor
$21.6K won vs $26.4K lost
-0.8 pts
Edge vs implied
4% won at 4¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 69
- Deepest drawdown
- 217 trades
By category
sports274 settled-18%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202648D79BAE9D5-FB77061FE3C
Oct 2
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026FD336358FA9-09687E722BC
Sep 30
yes Chicago WS,yes New York Y,yes San Diego,yes Sean Burke: 4+,yes Hunter Brown: 4+,yes Sean Burke: 15+,yes Sonny Gray: 15+,yes Max Fried: 17+,no Philadelphia wins by over 2.5 runs,no Over 9.5 runs scored
Sep 30
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.1Kyes Chicago C,yes Los Angeles D,yes San Diego,yes Seattle,yes Pittsburgh,yes San Francisco,yes Las Vegas,yes Minnesota$23 on Yes at 2¢, Sep 27
- 2+$971yes Baltimore,yes Pete Alonso: 1+,yes Ryan Weathers: 3+,yes Dylan Cease: 6+,yes Eury Pérez: 4+,yes Christian Scott: 5+,yes Logan Henderson: 5+,no Over 8.5 runs scored$47 on Yes at 5¢, Aug 16
- 3+$755yes San Francisco,yes Pittsburgh,yes Indianapolis,yes Kansas City,yes Buffalo,yes Jacksonville,yes Detroit,yes Washington,yes New York G$23 on Yes at 3¢, Sep 27
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Baltimore,yes Seattle,yes Los Angeles A,yes Philadelphia,no Over 8.5 runs scored,yes Over 6.5 runs scored1¢30%-$13
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026FD336358FA9-09687E722BC1+$0
yes Tampa Bay,yes Baltimore,yes Washington,yes Pittsburgh,yes Boston,yes Minnesota,yes Milwaukee,yes Texas,yes Philadelphia,no Over 9.5 runs scored1¢30%-$13
yes Washington,yes Cincinnati,yes Minnesota,yes New York Y,yes Houston,yes Boston,yes San Diego,yes Milwaukee,yes Los Angeles D2¢20%-$19
Parlay: San Francisco + Baltimore + Los Angeles R + Las Vegas + Minnesota1+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 5Oct 2
Profit by month
Jan 2026-$19
Mar 2026+$873
Apr 2026-$386
May 2026-$544
Jun 2026-$1.2K
Jul 2026+$939
Aug 2026+$378
Sep 2026+$768
Kalshi leaderboards
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