Stats as of
knee.guilt
+$2.2K
- Tracked Trades
- 280
- First Seen
- Jan 5, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 10, 2026
- Best In NBA
- 47% won · 15 settled · +$64
knee.guilt is a Kalshi trader with 280 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 34 wins and 79 losses on settled markets, $2.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Arkansas wins on Oct 10.
- Win rate
- 30%
- Return on settled
- +48%
- Money traded
- $11.0K
- Typical trade
- $5
- Avg entry
- 11¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,356
Profit over time
+$2.9K-$281
Jan 8Oct 10
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢959%11%+2 pts
20 to 40¢10628%27%-1 pts
40 to 60¢4349%63%+13 pts
60 to 80¢2170%50%-20 pts
Over 80¢1587%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $37013%+$11
$3 to $57038%+$70
$5 to $197016%-$214
$19 to $2.5K7044%+$2.4K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays1820%+$1.8K
Tennis11428%-$111
Bitcoin2642%-$43
College football10%-$679
NFL333%+$1.4K
NBA5447%+$64
Side taken
Yes 77%23% No
If you had copied knee.guilt
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$542
Profit
on $2500 staked
7-18
Record
28% win rate
+22%
Return
8 still open
+$542-$700
Jul 20Oct 5
-$846
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
0.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.30×
Profit factor
$2.3K won vs $1.8K lost
+3.9 pts
Edge vs implied
28% won at 24¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 7
- Deepest drawdown
- 23 trades
By category
sports12 settled+66%
crypto12 settled-12%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
5 open positions worth $1.6K
The markets knee.guilt is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Arkansas wins
Oct 10
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026C340F666D2A-2A6DD9AED94
Oct 10
yes South Carolina,yes North Carolina
Oct 10
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.8Kyes South Carolina,yes North Carolina$188 on Yes at 6¢, Oct 10
- 2+$1.4KBijan Robinson: 2+ touchdowns$475 on Yes at 25¢, Oct 5
- 3+$331BTC price up in next 15 mins?$240 on No at 42¢, Oct 9
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026C340F666D2A-2A6DD9AED941+$0
BTC price up in next 15 mins?34¢2542%-$43
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026FA0D0DE9443-D95438E711B9¢10%-$940
Arkansas wins55¢10%-$679
yes Florida,yes New York R31¢1+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 13Oct 10
Profit by month
Jan 2026-$47
Feb 2026-$149
Mar 2026+$51
Apr 2026-$0
Jul 2026-$47
Aug 2026-$53
Sep 2026-$9
Oct 2026+$2.5K
Kalshi leaderboards
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