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Stats as of

known.jaw

-$342.31
Tracked Trades
33
First Seen
Jan 15, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 2, 2026

known.jaw is a Kalshi trader with 33 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 6 wins and 12 losses on settled markets, -$342.31 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Democratic Party hold more than 52 seats in the 120th Congress? on Nov 2.

Win rate
33%
Return on settled
-34%
Money traded
$6.7K
Typical trade
$79.28
Avg entry
29¢
Kalshi rank
#5,763

Profit over time

+$186.00-$342.00
Jan 15Nov 1

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢710%0%-10 pts
20 to 40¢726%17%-9 pts
40 to 60¢1249%50%+1 pts
60 to 80¢370%50%-20 pts
Over 80¢484%100%+16 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$4 to $30943%-$47.26
$39 to $79820%-$102.83
$90 to $116820%-$310.44
$139 to $1.2K8100%+$118.22

Categories

TradesWonProfit
US elections8+$0.00
Basketball20%-$93.80
College basketball1838%-$61.76
Parlays1+$0.00
NFL20%-$145.52
College football10%-$48.05

Side taken

Yes 70%30% No

If you had copied known.jaw

$100 per bet, last 90 days

Not enough settled trades to score yet

2 of 5 needed have resolved. 8 still open.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

7 open positions worth $2.5K

The markets known.jaw is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what known.jaw is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Iowa?
Nov 2
Sold Nosold 53¢$758.36Exited
Will the Democratic Party hold 52 seats in the 120th Congress?
Nov 2
Sold Nosold 84¢$1.0KExited
Baltimore wins
Nov 1
Yes20¢$94.70-$94.70
See every position across 23 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    UConn wins by over 17.5 Points?
    $138.78 on Yes at 54¢, Feb 4
    +$118.22
  2. 2
    Kansas at Texas Tech Winner?
    $51.48 on Yes at 36¢, Feb 3
    +$91.52
  3. 3
    Xavier at UConn: Total Points
    $96.52 on No at 56¢, Feb 4
    +$76.48
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Iowa?45¢2+$0.00
Will the Democratic Party hold 52 seats in the 120th Congress?23¢2+$0.00
Will UConn win the College Basketball National Championship?7¢20%-$93.80
Will the Democratic Party hold more than 52 seats in the 120th Congress?51¢1+$0.00
yes Democratic Party,yes Aaron Ford,yes Amy Acton,yes Abdul El-Sayed,yes James Talarico48¢1+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 5Nov 2

Profit by month

Jan 2026-$100.48
Feb 2026-$5.28
Mar 2026-$93.80
Oct 2026-$48.05
Nov 2026-$94.70

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