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Stats as of
kontrabanded
+$6.0K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,003
- First Seen
- Oct 17, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 22, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 36% won · 621 settled · +$6.0K
kontrabanded is a Kalshi trader with 1,003 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 226 wins and 395 losses on settled markets, $6.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 22.
- Win rate
- 36%
- Return on settled
- +21%
- Money traded
- $47.3K
- Typical trade
- $7
- Avg entry
- 24¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,214
Profit over time
+$6.0K-$459
Oct 18Oct 19
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3785%0%-5 pts
20 to 40¢16830%29%-1 pts
40 to 60¢19847%59%+12 pts
60 to 80¢12668%94%+26 pts
Over 80¢13394%99%+5 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $025125%-$4
$0 to $725123%-$229
$7 to $2825137%-$483
$28 to $1.2K25064%+$6.8K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin100336%+$6.0K
Side taken
Yes 40%60% No
If you had copied kontrabanded
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$23349
Profit
on $62100 staked
226-395
Record
36% win rate
-38%
Return
+$0-$23.3K
Oct 12Oct 19
-$26.7K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.41×
Profit factor
$16.2K won vs $39.5K lost
+1.8 pts
Edge vs implied
36% won at 35¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 51
- Deepest drawdown
- 449 trades
By category
crypto621 settled-38%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 22
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 21
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 21
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.9KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$4.3K on Yes at 69¢, Oct 19
- 2+$1.7KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$2.3K on Yes at 57¢, Oct 19
- 3+$1.4KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$1.3K on Yes at 48¢, Oct 19
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?24¢100336%+$6.0K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 25Oct 22
Profit by month
Oct 2026+$6.0K
Kalshi leaderboards
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